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Election Timeline
January 11, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
April 3, 2012 - Presidential primaries
April 3, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Maryland is the 6th least conservative state, voting
18.18% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Maryland is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Maryland ranks 46th among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Incumbent: Democrat Ben Cardin is up for re-election for the first time in 2012. He faces only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Daniel Bongino
William Capps, Jr.
Richard Douglas
Rick Hoover
David Jones
DEM Candidates
Benjamin Cardin - Incumbent
Raymond Levi Blagmon
J.P. Cusick
Christopher Garner
Ralph Jaffe
Young Lih
Anthony Muse - Maryland State Senator
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Solid DEM Hold
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District 6
Incumbent: Veteran Republican Roscoe Bartlett, Jr. is up for re-election to a twelfth term in 2012. He faces primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Roscoe Bartlett, Jr. - Incumbent
Kathryn Afzali - Maryland State Delegate
David Brinkley - Maryland State Senator
Robert Coblentz
Robin Ficker
Peter James
Joseph Krysztoforski
Brandon Rippeon
David Wallace, II
DEM Candidates
John Delany
Robert Garagiola
Ron Little
Milad Pooran
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Gain
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Andy Harris (R)-inc vs. ??? (D) - possibly competitive
District 2: Dutch Ruppersberger (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 3: John Sarbanes (D)-inc vs. Armand Girard (R)
District 4: Donna Edwards (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 5: Steny Hoyer? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 7: Elijah Cummings? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 8: Christopher van Hollen, Jr. (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
2 GOP, 6 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
12 GOP, 35 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
43 GOP, 98 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Martin O'Malley (D) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2014
Lt. Governor: Anthony Brown (D) - 1st term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Barbara Mikulski (D) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2016
Junior Senator: Benjamin Cardin (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Andy Harris (R) - 1st term
House District 2: Dutch Ruppersberger (D) - 5th term
House District 3: John Sarbanes (D) - 3rd term
House District 4: Donna Edwards (D) - 3rd term
House District 5: Steny Hoyer (D) - 16th term
House District 6: Roscoe Bartlett (R) - 10th term
House District 7: Elijah Cummings (D) - 9th term
House District 8: Christopher van Hollen (D) - 5th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Solid D |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
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| Governor |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
Strong D |
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| House |
4 GOP
4 DEM |
2 GOP
6 DEM |
2 GOP
6 DEM |
2 GOP
6 DEM |
1 GOP
7 DEM |
2 GOP
6 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak D |
Strong R |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Strong D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-4 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-5 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-8 |
Weak R |
Mod D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
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| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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