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Maine  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • February 4-11, 2012 - Presidential caucuses
  • March 15, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 12, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 2, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Maine is the 11th least conservative state, voting 10.06% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Maine is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Maine ranks 32nd among the 50 states.
     

    Projected Races
    Click on a race for details

    Presidential Race


    Barack Obama - inc  vs.  Mitt Romney

    Senate Race


    OPEN:  Charles Summers  vs.  Cynthia Dill  vs.  Angus King

    Governor Race


    No race in 2012

    Competitive House Races


    No competitive races in 2012

    Other House Races


    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Chellie Pingree (D)-inc vs. Jonathan Courtney (R)
  • District 2:  Michael Michaud (D)-inc vs. Kevin Raye (R) - possibly competitive
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 GOP
      Representatives 2 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 20 GOP, 14 DEM, 1 IND
      State House - GOP control 78 GOP, 72 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Paul LePage (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Senior Senator:  Olympia Snowe (R) - 3rd term, not seeking re-election in 2012
  • Junior Senator:  Susan Collins (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2014
  • House District 1:  Rochelle Pingree (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 2:  Michael Michaud (D) - 5th term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Mod D -- Mod D -- Solid D --

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid R -- -- Solid R -- --
    Class 2 -- Solid R -- -- Solid R --

    Governor -- Mod D -- Mod D -- Weak R

    House 2 D 2 D 2 D 2 D 2 D 2 D
    CD-1 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D Strong D
    CD-2 Solid D Weak D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Maine Race Tracking
    President
    Barack Obama - inc
    vs
    Mitt Romney
    Projected Winner
    Senate (open)
    Charles Summers
    vs
    Cynthia Dill
    vs
    Angus King
    Projected Winner
    2012 Elections On Demand


    Presidential Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Senate & Governor Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Competitive House Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    Election Projection Resources
     
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    e-mail Scott at:
    electionprojection-at-
    gmail <put a period here> com
     

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