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| Michigan |
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Election Timeline
February 28, 2012 - Presidential primaries
May 15, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 7, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Michigan is the 13th least conservative state, voting
2.08% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Michigan is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Michigan ranks 38th among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Incumbent: Democrat Debbie Stabenow is seeking a third term in 2012. She currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Scott Boman
Chad Michael Dewey
Clark Durant
Gary Glenn
Randy Hekman - Former Juvenile Court Judge
Peter Hoekstra - Former U.S. Representative from Michigan
Peter Konetchy
Chuck Marino
Fredrick Wilson
DEM Candidates
Debbie Stabenow - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold
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No competitive races in 2012
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Daniel Benishek (R)-inc vs. ??? (D) - possibly competitive
District 2: Bill Huizenga (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 3: Justin Amash (R)-inc vs. Trevor Thomas (D)
District 4: Dave Lee Camp (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 5: OPEN: ??? (D) vs. ??? (R)
District 6: Fred Upton? (R)-inc vs. John Waltz (D)
District 7: Timothy Walberg? (R)-inc (currently unopposed) - possibly competitive
District 8: Michael Rogers? (R)-inc vs. Lance Enderle (D)
District 9: Sandy Levin? (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 10: Candice Miller (R)-inc vs. Henry Yanez (D)
District 11: Thad McCotter (R)-inc vs. Syed Taj (D) - possibly competitive
District 12: John Dingell? (D)-inc, old Dist 15 vs. Karen Jacobsen (R)
District 13: John Conyers, Jr.? (D)-inc, old Dist 14 (currently unopposed)
District 14: Hansen Clarke? (D)-inc, old Dist 13 (currently unopposed)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
9 GOP, 6 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
26 GOP, 12 DEM |
| State Senate - GOP control |
62 GOP, 47 DEM, 1 vacant |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Rick Snyder (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
Lt. Governor: Brian Calley (R) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Carl Levin (D) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2014
Junior Senator: Debbie Stabenow (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Daniel Benishek (R) - 1st term
House District 2: William Huizenga (R) - 1st term
House District 3: Justin Amash (R) - 1st term
House District 4: Dave Lee Camp (R) - 11th term
House District 5: Dale Kildee (D) - 18th term (retiring)
House District 6: Fred Upton (R) - 13th term
House District 7: Timothy Walberg (R) - 1st term
House District 8: Michael Rogers (R) - 6th term
House District 9: Gary Peters (D) - 2nd term
House District 10: Candice Miller (R) - 5th term
House District 11: Thad McCotter (R) - 5th term
House District 12: Sandy Levin (D) - 15th term
House District 13: Hansen Clarke (D) - 1st term
House District 14: John Conyers Jr. (D) - 24th term
House District 15: John Dingell (D) - 29th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Weak D |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
Solid R |
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| House |
7 GOP
9 DEM |
9 GOP
6 DEM |
9 GOP
6 DEM |
9 GOP
6 DEM |
7 GOP
8 DEM |
9 GOP
6 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Strong R |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Mod D |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod R |
Weak D |
Weak R |
| CD-8 |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-9 |
Solid D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod R |
Weak D |
Weak D |
| CD-10 |
Solid D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-11 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Mod R |
Solid R |
| CD-12 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-13 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-14 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-15 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-16 |
Solid D |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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