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Election Timeline
February 7, 2012 - Presidential caucuses
June 5, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 14, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Minnesota is the 20th least conservative state, voting
2.97% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Minnesota is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Minnesota ranks 20th among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Incumbent: Democrat Amy Klobucher is seeking re-election for the first time in 2012. She currently faces only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Joe Edward Arwood, III - St. Bonifacius City Councilman
Anthony Hernandez
Pete Hegseth
Daniel Severson - Former Minnesota State Representative
DFL Candidates
Amy Klobucher - Incumbent
Richard Franson
Jack Shepard
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Strong DEM Hold
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District 8
Incumbent Republican Chip Cravaack seeks a second term in 2012. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Chip Cravaack - Incumbent
DFL Candidates
Jeff Anderson - Duluth Councilor-at-Large
Tarryl Lynn Clark - Former Minnesota State Senator
Daniel Fanning
Richard Nolan - Former U.S. Representative from Minnesota
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Timothy Walz (DFL)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
District 2: John Kline (R)-inc vs. Daniel Powers (DFL)
District 3: Erik Paulsen? (R)-inc vs. ??? (DFL) - possibly competitive
District 4: Betty McCollum (DFL)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 5: Keith Ellison (DFL)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 6: Michele Bachmann (R)-inc (currently unopposed) - possibly competitive
District 7: Collin Peterson (DFL)-inc vs. Lee Byberg (R) - possibly competitive
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DFL |
| Representatives |
4 GOP, 4 DFL |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DFL |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
DFL |
| State Senate - GOP control |
37 GOP, 29 DFL, 1 vacant |
| State House - GOP control |
72 GOP, 61 DFL, 1 vacant |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Mark Dayton (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
Lt. Governor: Yvonne Solon (D) - 1st term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Amy Klobuchar (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: Al Franken (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
House District 1: Tim Walz (D) - 3rd term
House District 2: John Kline (R) - 5th term
House District 3: Erik Paulson (R) - 2nd term
House District 4: Betty McCollum (D) - 6th term
House District 5: Keith Ellison (D) - 3rd term
House District 6: Michele Bachmann (R) - 3rd term (running for President)
House District 7: Collin Peterson (D) - 11th term
House District 8: Chip Cravaack (R) - 1st term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Weak D |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
Weak D |
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| House |
3 GOP
5 DFL |
4 GOP
4 DFL |
4 GOP
4 DFL |
3 GOP
5 DFL |
3 GOP
5 DFL |
4 GOP
4 DFL |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod D |
Solid D |
Mod D |
| CD-2 |
Weak R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod R |
Solid R |
| CD-4 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-5 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-6 |
Weak D |
Solid R |
Mod R |
Mod R |
Weak R |
Strong R |
| CD-7 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-8 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Weak R |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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