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Election Timeline
March 13, 2012 - Presidential caucuses
March 27, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 7, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Missouri is the 22nd most conservative state, voting
7.4% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Missouri is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Missouri ranks 13th among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Incumbent: Freshman Democrat Claire McCaskill seeks re-election for the first time in 2012 She currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Todd Akin - U.S. Representative from Missouri
Jerry Beck
John Brunner
Mark Memoly
Sarah Steelman
DEM Candidates
Claire McCaskill - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
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Incumbent: Democrat Jay Nixon is up for a second term in 2012 He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Bill Randles
David Spence
DEM Candidates
Jay Nixon - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
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District 2
OPEN SEAT: Six-term Republican Todd Akin is running for the Senate in 2012.
GOP Candidates
Edward Martin, Jr.
Ann Wagner
DEM Candidates
none so far
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: William Lacy Clay Jr.? (D)-inc vs. Martin Baker (R)
District 3: B. Luetkemeyer (R)-inc, old Dist 9 vs. R. Carnahan? (D)-inc, old Dist 3
District 4: Vicky Hartzler (R)-inc vs. Teresa Hensley (D)
District 5: Emmanuel Cleaver, II (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 6: Sam Graves, Jr. (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 7: Billy Long (R)-inc vs. Nicholas Ladendorf (D)
District 8: Jo Ann Emerson? (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
6 GOP, 3 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
26 GOP, 8 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
106 GOP, 56 DEM, 1 IND |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Jay Nixon- 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
Lt. Governor: Peter Kinder - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
Senior Senator: Claire McCaskill - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: Roy Blunt - 1st term, up for re-election in 2016
House District 1: Lacy Clay Jr. (D) - 6th term
House District 2: Todd Akin (R) - 6th term (running for Senate)
House District 3: Russ Carnahan (D) - 4th term
House District 4: Vicky Hartzler (R) - 1st term
House District 5: Emmanuel Cleaver, II (D) - 4th term
House District 6: Samuel Graves, Jr. (R) - 6th term
House District 7: Billy Long (R) - 1st term
House District 8: Jo Ann Emerson (R) - 8th term
House District 9: Blaine Luetkemeyer (R) - 2nd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Weak R |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak D |
Weak R |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Strong R |
-- |
-- |
Strong R |
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| Governor |
Weak D |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
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| House |
6 GOP
3 DEM |
5 GOP
4 DEM |
5 GOP
4 DEM |
5 GOP
4 DEM |
5 GOP
4 DEM |
6 GOP
3 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Strong R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Mod D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Weak D |
| CD-4 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Weak R |
| CD-5 |
Solid R |
Solid D |
Strong D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Mod D |
| CD-6 |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-8 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-9 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak R |
Solid R |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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e-mail Scott at:
thebloggingcaesar
-at- yahoo.com
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