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Mississippi  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • January 13, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • March 13, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • March 13, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • April 3, 2012 - Primary runoff
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Mississippi is the 13th most conservative state, voting 20.45% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Mississippi is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Mississippi ranks 7th among the 50 states.
     


    Presidential Race

    Race for the White House


    GOP Candidates
  • Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
  • Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
  • DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - President of the United States
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  Republican Roger Wicker was appointed to the Senate in December 2007 to fill the vacancy left by Senator Trent Lott's resignation.  He won a special election on November 4, 2008 to serve out the reminder of Lott's term.  He is seeking a first full term in 2012.  He currently faces no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Roger Wicker - Incumbent
  • Allen Hathcock
  • Robert Maloney
  • DEM Candidates

  • Albert N. Gore, Jr.
  • Will Oatis
  • Roger Weiner
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Solid GOP Hold

     
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2012
     
    Competitive House Races
    No competitive races in 2012
     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Alan Nunnelee? (R)-inc vs. Brad Morris (D)
  • District 2:  Bennie Thompson? (D)-inc vs. Bill Marcy (R)
  • District 3:  Gregg Harper (R)-inc vs. Crystal Biggs (D)
  • District 4:  Steven Palazzo? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 GOP
      Representatives 3 GOP, 1 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 28 GOP, 23 DEM, 1 vacant
      State Senate - GOP control 64 GOP, 58 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Phil Bryant (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2015
  • Lt. Governor:  Tate Reeves (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2015
  • Senior Senator:  Thad Cochran (R) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  Roger Wicker (R) - 1st (partial), up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  Alan Nunnelee (R) - 1st term
  • House District 2:  Bennie Thompson (D) - 10th term
  • House District 3:  Gregg Harper (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 4:  Steven Palazzo (R) - 1st term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Strong R --

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid R -- -- Solid R -- --
    Class 2 -- Solid R -- -- Solid R --

    Governor
    (2003-2011)
    -- Mod R -- Solid R -- Solid R

    House 2 GOP
    2 DEM
    2 GOP
    2 DEM
    2 GOP
    2 DEM
    2 GOP
    2 DEM
    1 GOP
    3 DEM
    3 GOP
    1 DEM
    CD-1 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Strong D Strong R
    CD-2 Solid D Strong D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-4 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Weak R

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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