| |
|---|
| Montana |
 |
|
|
| |
|---|
|
Election Timeline
March 12, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 5, 2012 - Presidential primaries
June 5, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Montana is the 21st most conservative state, voting
9.65% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Montana is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Montana ranks 16th among the 50 states.
|
|
| |
|
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
|
| |
|
|
Incumbent: Freshman Democrat Jon Tester seeks re-election for the first time in 2012 He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Denny Rehberg - U.S. Representative from Montana
DEM Candidates
Jon Tester - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection -
Weak GOP Gain
|
| |
|
|
|
Incumbent: Two-term Democratic Governor Brian Schweitzer term-limited in 2012.
GOP Candidates
Robert Fanning, Jr.
Rick Hill - Former U.S. Representative from Montana
Neil Livingston
Jim Lynch
Ken Miller - Former Montana State Senator
Jim O'Hara - Chouteau County Commissioner
Corey Stapleton - Former Montana State Senator
Keith Winkler
DEM Candidates
Steve Bullock - Montana Attorney General
Larry Gent - Montana State Senator
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
|
| |
|
District At-large
OPEN SEAT: Republican Incumbent Denny Rehberg is running for the Senate. He will not seek a sixth term in 2012.
GOP Candidates
Steven Daines
DEM Candidates
John Abarr
Kim Gillan - Montana State Representative
Diane Smith
David Strohmaier - Missoula Council Member
Robert Stutz
Franke Wilmer - Montana State Representative
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
|
| |
|
|
Current Partisan Breakdown
|
| |
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
1 GOP |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - GOP control |
28 GOP, 22 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
68 GOP, 32 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Brian Schweitzer (D) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2012
Lt. Governor: John Bohlinger (D) - 2nd term, not seeking re-election in 2012
Senior Senator: Max Baucus (D) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2014
Junior Senator: Jon Tester (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Dennis Rehberg (R) - 5th term (running for Senate)
Historical Partisan Snapshot
|
| |
| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2008 |
|
| President |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak R |
-- |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
-- |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
|
| Governor |
Weak R |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
|
| House |
1 GOP |
1 GOP |
1 GOP |
1 GOP |
1 GOP |
1 GOP |
| CD-1 |
Mod R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
|
| BOLD - party turnover
|
Race ratings:
|
"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
|
|
|
|
| |
|
