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| North Carolina |
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Election Timeline
February 29, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
May 8, 2012 - Presidential primaries
May 8, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
June 26, 2012 - Primary runoff
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
North Carolina is the 23rd most conservative state, voting
for Obama in 2008 but 6.95% more Republican than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, North Carolina is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
North Carolina ranks 24th among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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OPEN SEAT: Democrat Beverly Perdue will not seek a second term in 2012.
GOP Candidates
Patrick McCrory - Former Mayor of Charlotte
Doug Schell
DEM Candidates
Walter Dalton - North Carolina Lieutenant Governor
Gary Dunn
Bob Etheridge - Former U.S. Representative from North Carolina
Bill Faison - North Carolina State Representative
Gardenia Henley
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod GOP Gain
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District 7
Incumbent: Democrat Mike McIntyre is up for a ninth term in 2012. His currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Randy Crow
Ilario Pantano
David Rouzer - North Carolina State Senator
Timothy Wilkes
DEM Candidates
Mike McIntyre - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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District 8
Incumbent: Two-term Democrat Larry Kissell is seeking re-election in 2012. His currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Daniel Barry - Mayor of Weddington
Richard Hudson, Jr.
Scott Keadle - Former Iredell County Commissioner
Vernon Robinson, III - Former Winston-Salem City Councilman
Fred Steen, II - North Carolina State Representative
John Whitley
DEM Candidates
Larry Kissell - Incumbent
Marcus Williams
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod GOP Gain
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District 11
OPEN SEAT: Democrat Heath Shuler is retiring at the end of his third term. His is not seeking re-election in 2012.
GOP Candidates
Spence Campbell, Jr.
Dan Eichenbaum
Susan Harris
Jeffrey Hunt - District Attorney
Ed Krause - Former Madison County School Board Member
Mark Meadows
Vance Patterson
Chris Petrella
Hayden Rogers
Kenny West
Ethan Wingfield
DEM Candidates
Thomas Hill
Heath Shuler - Incumbent
Cecil Bothwell - Asheville City Councilman
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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District 13
OPEN SEAT: Due to redistricting, five-term Democratic Congressman Brad Miller is running in District 4 in 2012.
GOP Candidates
Paul Coble - Wake County Commissioner
George Holding - Former U.S. Attorney
Robert Johnson
William Randall, II
DEM Candidates
none so far
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod GOP Gain
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: G.K. Butterfield (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 2: Renee Ellmers? (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 3: Walter Jones, Jr.? (R)-inc vs. Johnny Rouse (D)
District 4: David Price? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 5: Virginia Foxx (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 6: Howard Coble? (R)-inc vs. Elisabeth Motsinger (D)
District 9: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. Jennifer Roberts (D)
District 10: Patrick McHenry? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 12: Melvin Watt (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
6 GOP, 7 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - GOP control |
30 GOP, 19 DEM, 1 vacant |
| State House - GOP control |
68 GOP, 52 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Beverly Perdue (D) - 1st term, not seeking re-election in 2012
Lt. Governor: Walter Dalton (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
Senior Senator: Richard Burr (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2016
Junior Senator: Kay Hagan (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
House District 1: G.K. Butterfield (D) - 5th term
House District 2: Renee Ellmers (R) - 1st term
House District 3: Walter Jones, Jr. (R) - 9th term
House District 4: David Price (D) - 12th term
House District 5: Virginia Foxx (R) - 4th term
House District 6: Howard Coble (R) - 14th term
House District 7: Mike McIntyre (D) - 8th term
House District 8: Larry Kissell (D) - 2nd term
House District 9: Sue Myrick (R) - 8th term
House District 10: Patrick McHenry (R) - 4th term
House District 11: Heath Shuler (D) - 3rd term
House District 12: Melvin Watt (D) - 10th term
House District 13: Brad Miller (D) - 5th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Strong R |
-- |
Strong R |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
-- |
Strong R |
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| Governor |
Mod D |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
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| House |
7 GOP
5 DEM |
7 GOP
6 DEM |
7 GOP
6 DEM |
6 GOP
7 DEM |
5 GOP
8 DEM |
6 GOP
7 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Weak R |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-4 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Strong D |
| CD-5 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Mod D |
| CD-8 |
Strong R |
Strong R |
Strong R |
Weak R |
Strong D |
Mod D |
| CD-9 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-10 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-11 |
Strong R |
Strong R |
Strong R |
Mod D |
Solid D |
Mod D |
| CD-12 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-13 |
NA |
Strong D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Strong D |
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| BOLD - party turnover |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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