Home  Blog  Election Polls  President 2012  Senate 2012  House 2012  Governors 2012  GOP Primaries 2012  Redistricting 2012  Formulas  Results  About me


    "The Blogging Caesar at Election Projection is one of the web's best prognosticators" - Hugh Hewitt

2012 Projections


Election Projection cannot screen all advertisements appearing here.  Therefore, I do not necessarily endorse the products and/or services shown.

North Dakota  
General Information

Election Timeline

  • March 6, 2012 - Presidential caucuses
  • April 13, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 12, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates

    Conservative Ranking

    North Dakota is the 17th most conservative state, voting 15.87% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend

    Based on voting patterns since 1992, North Dakota is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking

    North Dakota ranks 21st among the 50 states.

    Projected Races
    Click on a race for details

    Presidential Race

    Barack Obama - inc  vs.  Mitt Romney

    Senate Race

    OPEN SEAT:  Heidi Heitkamp  vs.  Richard Berg

    Governor Race

    Jack Dalrymple - interim  vs.  Ryan Taylor

    Competitive House Races

    No competitive races in 2012

    Other House Races

  • District AL:  OPEN: Kevin Cramer (R) vs. Pam Gulleson (D) - possibly competitive
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 1 GOP
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 34 GOP, 12 DEM, 1 vacant
      State House - GOP control 69 GOP, 25 DEM

    Current Office Holders

  • Governor:  Jack Dalrymple (R) - 1st term (partial), up for election in 2012
  • Lt. Governor:  Drew Wrigley (R) - 3rd term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Kent Conrad (D) - 4th term, not seeking re-election in 2012
  • Junior Senator:  John Hoeven (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2016
  • House District 1:  Richard Berg (R) - 1st term (running for Senate)
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot

      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Mod R --

    Class 1 Solid D -- -- Solid D -- --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid D -- -- Solid R

    Governor Strong R -- Solid R -- Solid R --

    House 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 GOP
    CD-AL Mod D Weak D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong R

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%

    North Dakota Race Tracking
    Mitt Romney
    Barack Obama - inc
    Projected Winner
    Senate (open)
    Heidi Heitkamp
    Richard Berg
    Projected Winner
    Jack Dalrymple - inc
    Ryan Taylor
    Projected Winner
    2012 Elections On Demand

    Presidential Races


    Senate & Governor Races


    Competitive House Races

    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political

    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics

    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report

    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas

    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report

    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball

    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers

    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America

    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre

    Election Projection Resources
    EP's RSS Feed

    RSS Feed  RSS
    Search this site

    provided by Google
    Contact Me

    e-mail Scott at:
    gmail <put a period here> com

    ©Copyright 2003-2013 Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved