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North Dakota  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 6, 2012 - Presidential caucuses
  • April 13, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 12, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    North Dakota is the 17th most conservative state, voting 15.87% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, North Dakota is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    North Dakota ranks 21st among the 50 states.
     


    Presidential Race

    Race for the White House


    GOP Candidates
  • Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
  • Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
  • DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - President of the United States
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Senate Race
    OPEN SEAT:   Four-term Democrat Kent Conrad is retiring at the end of the current term.  He is not seeking re-election in 2012.

    GOP Candidates

  • Richard Berg - U.S. Representative from North Dakota
  • Duane Sand
  • DEM Candidates

  • Heidi Heitkamp - Former North Dakota Attorney General
  • Thomas Potter
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain

     
    Governor's Race
    Interim:  Republican Jack Dalrymple took office in December, 2010 following then-Governor John Hoeven's move to the U.S. Senate.  He is running for election for the first time in 2012.  He currently faces only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Jack Dalrymple - Interim Governor of North Dakota
  • Paul Sorum
  • DEM Candidates

  • Ryan Taylor - North Dakota State Senator
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Solid GOP Hold

     
    Competitive House Races
    No competitive races in 2012
     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  OPEN: ??? (R) vs. Pam Gulleson (D) (possibly competitive)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 1 GOP
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 34 GOP, 12 DEM, 1 vacant
      State House - GOP control 69 GOP, 25 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Jack Dalrymple (R) - 1st term (partial), up for election in 2012
  • Lt. Governor:  Drew Wrigley (R) - 3rd term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Kent Conrad (D) - 4th term, not seeking re-election in 2012
  • Junior Senator:  John Hoeven (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2016
  • House District 1:  Richard Berg (R) - 1st term (running for Senate)
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Mod R --

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid D -- -- Solid D -- --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid D -- -- Solid R

    Governor Strong R -- Solid R -- Solid R --

    House 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 GOP
    CD-AL Mod D Weak D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong R

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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