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North Dakota  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 6, 2012 - Presidential caucuses
  • April 13, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 12, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    North Dakota is the 17th most conservative state, voting 15.87% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, North Dakota is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    North Dakota ranks 21st among the 50 states.
     

    Projected Races
    Click on a race for details

    Presidential Race


    Barack Obama - inc  vs.  Mitt Romney

    Senate Race


    OPEN SEAT:  Heidi Heitkamp  vs.  Richard Berg

    Governor Race


    Jack Dalrymple - interim  vs.  Ryan Taylor

    Competitive House Races


    No competitive races in 2012

    Other House Races


  • District AL:  OPEN: Kevin Cramer (R) vs. Pam Gulleson (D) - possibly competitive
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 1 GOP
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 34 GOP, 12 DEM, 1 vacant
      State House - GOP control 69 GOP, 25 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Jack Dalrymple (R) - 1st term (partial), up for election in 2012
  • Lt. Governor:  Drew Wrigley (R) - 3rd term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Kent Conrad (D) - 4th term, not seeking re-election in 2012
  • Junior Senator:  John Hoeven (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2016
  • House District 1:  Richard Berg (R) - 1st term (running for Senate)
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Mod R --

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid D -- -- Solid D -- --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid D -- -- Solid R

    Governor Strong R -- Solid R -- Solid R --

    House 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 GOP
    CD-AL Mod D Weak D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong R

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    North Dakota Race Tracking
    President
    Mitt Romney
    vs
    Barack Obama - inc
    Projected Winner
    Senate (open)
    Heidi Heitkamp
    vs
    Richard Berg
    Projected Winner
    Governor
    Jack Dalrymple - inc
    vs
    Ryan Taylor
    Projected Winner
    2012 Elections On Demand


    Presidential Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Senate & Governor Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Competitive House Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    Election Projection Resources
     
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    e-mail Scott at:
    electionprojection-at-
    gmail <put a period here> com
     

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