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Nebraska  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 1, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • May 15, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • May 15, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Nebraska is the 11th most conservative state, voting 22.2% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Nebraska is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Nebraska ranks 23rd among the 50 states.
     


    Presidential Race

    Race for the White House


    GOP Candidates
  • Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
  • Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
  • DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - President of the United States
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Senate Race
    OPEN SEAT:   Two-term Democratic Senator Ben Nelson has decided against running for re-election in 2012.

    GOP Candidates

  • Jon Bruning - Nebraska Attorney General
  • Debra Fischer
  • Patrick Flynn
  • Don Stenberg - Nebraska State Treasurer
  • Spencer Zimmerman
  • DEM Candidates

  • Steven Lustgarten
  • Chuck Hassebrook - University of Nebraska Regent
  • Larry Marvin
  • Sherman Yates
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Solid GOP Gain

     
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2012
     
    Competitive House Races
    No competitive races in 2012.
     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first.
  • District 1:  Jeff Fortenberry? (R)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 2:  Lee Terry? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D) - possibly competitive
  • District 3:  Adrian Smith (R)-inc   (currently unopposed)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 3 GOP
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor GOP
      State Senate 49 members

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Dave Heineman (R) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2014
  • Lt. Governor:  Rick Sheehy (R) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Ben Nelson (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Junior Senator:  Mike Johanns (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • House District 1:  Jeff Fortenberry (R) - 4th term
  • House District 2:  Lee Terry (R) - 7th term
  • House District 3:  Adrian Smith (R) - 3rd term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Solid R --

    Senate
    Class 1 Weak D -- -- Solid D -- --
    Class 2 -- Solid R -- -- Solid R --

    Governor -- Solid R -- Solid R -- Solid R

    House 3 GOP 3 GOP 3 GOP 3 GOP 3 GOP 3 GOP
    CD-1 Solid R Solid R Strong R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-2 Solid R Solid R Solid R Strong R Weak R Solid R
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Solid R Strong R Solid R Solid R

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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