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New Hampshire  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • January 10, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • June 15, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • September 11, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    New Hampshire is the 21st least conservative state, voting 2.34% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, New Hampshire is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    New Hampshire ranks 36th among the 50 states.
     

    Projected Races
    Click on a race for details

    Presidential Race


    Barack Obama - inc  vs.  Mitt Romney

    Senate Race


    No race in 2012

    Governor Race


    OPEN SEAT:  Maggie Hassan  vs.  Ovide Lamontagne

    Competitive House Races


  • District 1:  Frank Guinta - inc  vs.  Carol Shea-Porter
  • District 2:  Charlie Bass - inc  vs.  Ann Kuster
  • Other House Races


    None
     
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 2 GOP
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      State Senate - GOP control 19 GOP, 5 DEM
      State House - GOP control 295 GOP, 105 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  John Lynch (D) - 4th term, not seeking re-election in 2012
  • Senior Senator:  Jeanne Shaheen (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  Kelly Ayotte (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2016
  • House District 1:  Frank Guinta (R) - 1st term
  • House District 2:  Charlie Bass (R) - 1st term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Weak R -- Weak D -- Mod D --

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Weak R -- -- Mod D --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid R -- -- Solid R

    Governor Mod D Solid R Weak D Solid D Solid D Mod D

    House 2 GOP 2 GOP 2 GOP 2 DEM 2 DEM 2 GOP
    CD-1 Mod R Solid R Solid R Weak D Mod D Strong R
    CD-2 Solid R Solid R Solid R Mod D Solid D Weak R

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    New Hampshire Race Tracking
    President
    Barack Obama - inc
    vs
    Mitt Romney
    Projected Winner
    Governor (open)
    Ovide Lamontagne
    vs
    Maggie Hassan
    Projected Winner
    House District 1
    Frank Guinta - inc
    vs
    Carol Shea-Porter
    Projected Winner
    House District 2
    Charlie Bass - inc
    vs
    Ann Kuster
    Projected Winner
    2012 Elections On Demand


    Presidential Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Senate & Governor Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Competitive House Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    Election Projection Resources
     
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    Contact Me

    e-mail Scott at:
    electionprojection-at-
    gmail <put a period here> com
     

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