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New Hampshire  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • January 10, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • June 15, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • September 11, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    New Hampshire is the 21st least conservative state, voting 2.34% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, New Hampshire is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    New Hampshire ranks 36th among the 50 states.
     


    Presidential Race

    Race for the White House


    GOP Candidates
  • Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
  • Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
  • DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - President of the United States
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Senate Race
    No race in 2012
     
    Governor's Race
    OPEN SEAT:  Democrat John Lynch is retiring in 2013 at the end of his fourth 2-year term.  He will not seek re-election in 2012.

    GOP Candidates

  • Ovide Lamontagne
  • Kevin Smith - Former New Hampshire State Representative
  • DEM Candidates

  • Jackie Cilley - Former New Hampshire State Senator
  • Maggie Hassan - Former New Hampshire State Senator
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain

     
    Competitive House Races
    District 1
    Incumbent:  Freshman Republican Frank Guinta is seeking a second term in 2012.  His faces primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Frank Guinta - Incumbent
  • Mike Malzone - Former Merrimack Town Councilor
  • DEM Candidates

  • Joanne Dowdell - Former DNC Committeewoman
  • Josef Vernon Hodgkins
  • Andrew Hosmer
  • Carol Shea-Porter - Former U.S. Representative from New Hampshire
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold

     

    District 2
    Incumbent:  Freshman Republican Charlie Bass is up for re-election for the first time in 2012.  His currently faces no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Charlie Bass - Incumbent
  • DEM Candidates

  • Ann McLane Kuster - 2010 Nominee
  • Katrina Swett
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold

     
    Other House Races
    None
     
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 2 GOP
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      State Senate - GOP control 19 GOP, 5 DEM
      State House - GOP control 295 GOP, 105 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  John Lynch (D) - 4th term, not seeking re-election in 2012
  • Senior Senator:  Jeanne Shaheen (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  Kelly Ayotte (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2016
  • House District 1:  Frank Guinta (R) - 1st term
  • House District 2:  Charlie Bass (R) - 1st term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Weak R -- Weak D -- Mod D --

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Weak R -- -- Mod D --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid R -- -- Solid R

    Governor Mod D Solid R Weak D Solid D Solid D Mod D

    House 2 GOP 2 GOP 2 GOP 2 DEM 2 DEM 2 GOP
    CD-1 Mod R Solid R Solid R Weak D Mod D Strong R
    CD-2 Solid R Solid R Solid R Mod D Solid D Weak R

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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