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| New Jersey |
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Election Timeline
April 4, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 5, 2012 - Presidential primaries
June 5, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
New Jersey is the 15th least conservative state, voting
8.26% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, New Jersey is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
New Jersey ranks 43th among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Incumbent: Democrat Robert Menendez seeks a second full term in 2012. He faces primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Joseph Kyrillos, Jr. - New Jersey State Senator
Ian Linker
Joseph Rullo
DEM Candidates
Robert Menendez - Incumbent
Cory Booker - Newark Mayor
Jeffrey Boss
Gwendolyn Diakos
Omar Dyer
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Solid DEM Hold
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No currently competitive races in 2012 - races may be added after redistricting is finalized.
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Robert Andrews (D) (currently unopposed)
District 2: Frank LoBiondo? (R)-inc vs. Gary Stein (D)
District 3: Jon Runyan (R)-inc vs. Shelley Adler (D) (possibly competitive)
District 4: Christopher Smith (R)-inc vs. Doug DeMeo (D)
District 5: Scott Garrett? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D) (possibly competitive)
District 6: Frank Pallone, Jr. (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 7: Leonard Lance? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 8: Albio Sires (D)-inc, old Dist 13 vs. ??? (R)
District 9: MERGED: Steven Rothman? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 10: Donald Payne? (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 11: Rodney Frelinghuysen (R)-inc vs. Sean Mack (D)
District 12: Rush Holt (D)-inc vs. Eric Beck (R)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
5 GOP, 8 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
16 GOP, 24 DEM |
| State Assembly - DEM control |
31 GOP, 46 DEM, 3 vacant |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Chris Christie (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2013
Lt. Governor: Kimberly Guadagno (R) - 1st term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Frank Lautenberg (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2014
Junior Senator: Robert Menendez (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Robert Andrews (D) - 11th term
House District 2: Frank LoBiondo (R) - 9th term
House District 3: Jon Runyan (D) - 1st term
House District 4: Christopher Smith (R) - 16th term
House District 5: Scott Garrett (R) - 5th term
House District 6: Frank Pallone, Jr. (D) - 13th term
House District 7: Leonard Lance (R) - 2nd term
House District 8: Bill Pascrell, Jr. (D) - 8th term
House District 9: Steven Rothman(D) - 8th term
House District 10: Donald Payne (D) - 12th term
House District 11: Rodney Frelinghuysen (R) - 9th term
House District 12: Rush Holt (D) - 7th term
House District 13: Albio Sires (D) - 3rd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Solid D |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak D |
-- |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
-- |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
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Governor
(2001-2011) |
Mod D |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
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| House |
6 GOP
7 DEM |
6 GOP
7 DEM |
6 GOP
7 DEM |
6 GOP
7 DEM |
5 GOP
8 DEM |
6 GOP
7 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak D |
Weak R |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
| CD-6 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Strong D |
| CD-7 |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak R |
Mod R |
Solid R |
| CD-8 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-9 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-10 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-11 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-12 |
Weak D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Mod D |
| CD-13 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
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| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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