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| New Mexico |
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Election Timeline
February 14, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 5, 2012 - Presidential primaries
June 5, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
New Mexico is the 16th least conservative state, voting
7.86% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, New Mexico is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
New Mexico ranks 30th among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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OPEN SEAT:
Democratic incumbent Jeff Bingaman, Jr. is retiring at the end of his fifth term. He is not seeking re-election in 2012.
GOP Candidates
William English
John Sanchez - New Mexico Lieutenant Governor
Greg Sowards
Heather Wilson - Former U.S. Representative from New Mexico
DEM Candidates
Hector Balderas - New Mexico State Auditor
Michael Ham
Martin Heinrich - U.S. Representative from New Mexico
Andres Valdez
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
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No competitive races in 2012
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: OPEN: ??? (D) vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
District 2: Steven Pearce (R) vs. ??? (D)
District 3: Ray Lujan, Jr.? (D) vs. ??? (R)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
1 GOP, 2 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
15 GOP, 27 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
33 GOP, 37 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Susana Martinez (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
Lt. Governor: John Sanchez (R) - 1st term, tied to Governor (running for Senate)
Senior Senator: Jeff Bingaman, Jr. (D) - 5th term, not seeking re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: Tom Udall (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
House District 1: Martin Heinrich (D) - 2nd term (running for Senate)
House District 2: Steven Pearce (R) - 1st term
House District 3: Ray Lujan, Jr. (D) - 2nd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Weak D |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Mod R |
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| House |
2 GOP
1 DEM |
2 GOP
1 DEM |
2 GOP
1 DEM |
2 GOP
1 DEM |
3 DEM |
1 GOP
2 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Mod R |
Strong R |
Mod R |
Weak R |
Strong D |
Weak D |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong D |
Strong R |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Strong D |
| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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