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Election Timeline
February 4, 2012 - Presidential caucuses
March 16, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 12, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Nevada is the 18th least conservative state, voting
5.23% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Nevada is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Nevada ranks 44th among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Interim: Republican Dan Heller was appointed on May 3, 2011 to serve out the rest of Republican John Ensign's second term. Ensign resigned rather than face
further investigation. Heller is seeking election to this seat in his own right in 2012. He currently faces only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Dan Heller - Interim Senator
Edward Hamilton
DEM Candidates
Shelley Berkley - U.S. Representative from Navada
Barry Ellsworth
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
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District 3
Incumbent: Republican Joseph Heck is up for re-election for the first time in 2012. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Joseph Heck - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
James Haning, II
John Oceguero - Nevada State Assemblyman
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
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District 4
NEW SEAT: Nevada gained one seat as a result of reapportionment after the 2010 census.
GOP Candidates
Barbara Cegavske - Nevada State Senator
Daniel Schwartz
Danny Tarkanian
Kenneth Wegner
DEM Candidates
Steven Horsford - Nevada State Senator
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Gain
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Projected winner listed first.
District 1: OPEN: ??? (D) vs. ??? (R)
District 2: Mark Amodei? (R)-interim vs. Kate Marshall (D)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
2 GOP, 1 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
10 GOP, 11 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
16 GOP, 26 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Brian Sandoval (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
Lt. Governor: Brian Krolicki (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2014
Senior Senator: Harry Reid (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Dean Heller (R) - 1st term (partial), up for election in 2012
House District 1: Shelley Berkley (D) - 7th term (running for Senate)
House District 2: Mark Amodei (R) - 1st term (partial)
House District 3: Joseph Heck (R) - 1st term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Weak R |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Strong R |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Weak D |
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| Governor |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
Strong R |
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| House |
1 GOP
1 DEM |
2 GOP
1 DEM |
2 GOP
1 DEM |
2 GOP
1 DEM |
1 GOP
2 DEM |
2 GOP
1 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Mod D |
Mod D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
NA |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak R |
Mod D |
Weak R |
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| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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