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Oklahoma  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 6, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • TBD - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 26, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • August 28, 2012 - Primary runoff
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Oklahoma is the second most conservative state, voting 38.57% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Oklahoma is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Oklahoma ranks 5th among the 50 states.
     


    Presidential Race

    Race for the White House


    GOP Candidates
  • Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
  • Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
  • DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - President of the United States
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Senate Race
    No race in 2012
     
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2012
     
    Competitive House Races
    District 2
    OPEN SEAT:  Four-term Democrat Dan Boren is retiring.  He is not seeking re-election in 2012.

    GOP Candidates

  • George Faught - Oklahoma State Representative
  • Markwayne Mullin
  • Wayen Pettigrew - Former Oklahoma State Representative
  • Dustin Rowe
  • Dwayne Thompson
  • Dakota Lee Wook
  • DEM Candidates

  • Wayne Herriman
  • Rob Wallace - Former District Attorney
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  John Sullivan? (R)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 3:  Frank Lucas (R)-inc vs. Tim Murray (D)
  • District 4:  Tom Cole (R)-inc vs. Donna Bebo (D)
  • District 5:  James Lankford (R) vs. Thomas Guild (D)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 GOP
      Representatives 4 GOP, 1 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 31 GOP, 16 DEM, 1 vacant
      State House - GOP control 69 GOP, 31 DEM, 1 vacant

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Mary Fallin (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Lt. Governor:  Todd Lamb (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Senior Senator:  Jim Inhofe (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  Tom Coburn (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2016
  • House District 1:  John Sullivan (R) - 6th term
  • House District 2:  Dan Boren (D) - 4th term (retiring)
  • House District 3:  Frank Lucas (R) - 10th term
  • House District 4:  Tom Cole (R) - 5th term
  • House District 5:  James Lankford (R) - 1st term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Solid R --

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Solid R -- -- Solid R --
    Class 3 -- -- Mod R -- -- Strong R

    Governor -- Weak D -- Strong D -- Solid R

    House 5 GOP
    1 DEM
    4 GOP
    1 DEM
    4 GOP
    1 DEM
    4 GOP
    1 DEM
    4 GOP
    1 DEM
    CD-1 Solid R Strong R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-2 Strong D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-4 Mod R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-5 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-6 Solid R NA NA NA NA NA

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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