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Oklahoma  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 6, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • April 20, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 26, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • August 28, 2012 - Primary runoff
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Oklahoma is the second most conservative state, voting 38.57% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Oklahoma is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Oklahoma ranks 5th among the 50 states.
     

    Projected Races
    Click on a race for details

    Presidential Race


    Barack Obama - inc  vs.  Mitt Romney

    Senate Race


    No race in 2012

    Governor Race


    No race in 2012

    Competitive House Races


  • District 2:  OPEN:  Rob Wallace  vs.  Markwayne Mullin
  • Other House Races


    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  OPEN:  Jim Bridenstine (R)-inc vs. John Olson (D)
  • District 3:  Frank Lucas (R)-inc vs. Timothy Murray (D)
  • District 4:  Tom Cole (R)-inc vs. Donna Bebo (D)
  • District 5:  James Lankford (R) vs. Thomas Guild (D)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 GOP
      Representatives 4 GOP, 1 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 31 GOP, 16 DEM, 1 vacant
      State House - GOP control 69 GOP, 31 DEM, 1 vacant

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Mary Fallin (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Lt. Governor:  Todd Lamb (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Senior Senator:  Jim Inhofe (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  Tom Coburn (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2016
  • House District 1:  John Sullivan (R) - 6th term (defeated in primary)
  • House District 2:  Dan Boren (D) - 4th term (retiring)
  • House District 3:  Frank Lucas (R) - 10th term
  • House District 4:  Tom Cole (R) - 5th term
  • House District 5:  James Lankford (R) - 1st term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Solid R --

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Solid R -- -- Solid R --
    Class 3 -- -- Mod R -- -- Strong R

    Governor -- Weak D -- Strong D -- Solid R

    House 5 GOP
    1 DEM
    4 GOP
    1 DEM
    4 GOP
    1 DEM
    4 GOP
    1 DEM
    4 GOP
    1 DEM
    CD-1 Solid R Strong R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-2 Strong D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-4 Mod R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-5 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-6 Solid R NA NA NA NA NA

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Oklahoma Race Tracking
    President
    Mitt Romney
    vs
    Barack Obama - inc
    Projected Winner
    House District 2 (open)
    Rob Wallace
    vs
    Markwayne Mullin
    Projected Winner
    2012 Elections On Demand


    Presidential Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Senate & Governor Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Competitive House Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    Election Projection Resources
     
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    e-mail Scott at:
    electionprojection-at-
    gmail <put a period here> com
     

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