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2012 Projections


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Rhode Island  
General Information

Election Timeline

  • April 24, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • June 28, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • September 11, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates

    Conservative Ranking

    Rhode Island is the 3rd least conservative state, voting 20.53% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend

    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Rhode Island is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking

    Rhode Island ranks 35th among the 50 states.

    Projected Races
    Click on a race for details

    Presidential Race

    Barack Obama - inc  vs.  Mitt Romney

    Senate Race

    Sheldon Whitehouse - inc  vs.  Benjamin Hinckley, III

    Governor Race

    No race in 2012

    Competitive House Races

  • District 1:  David Cicilline - inc  vs.  Brendan Doherty
  • Other House Races

    Projected winner listed first
  • District 2:  James Langevin (D)-inc vs. Michael Riley (R)
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 2 DEM
    State Government
      Governor IND
      Lt. Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 8 GOP, 29 DEM, 1 IND
      State House - DEM control 9 GOP, 65 DEM, 1 LIB

    Current Office Holders

  • Governor:  Lincoln Chafee (I) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Lt. Governor:  Elizabeth Roberts (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Senior Senator:  Jack Reed (D) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  Sheldon Whitehouse (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  David Cicilline (D) - 1st term
  • House District 2:  James Langevin (D) - 6th term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot

      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Solid D -- Solid D -- Solid D --

    Class 1 Solid R -- -- Mod D -- --
    Class 2 -- Solid D -- -- Solid D --

    Governor -- Strong R -- Weak R -- Weak I

    House 2 DEM 2 DEM 2 DEM 2 DEM 2 DEM 2 DEM
    CD-1 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Mod D
    CD-2 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%

    Rhode Island Race Tracking
    Barack Obama - inc
    Mitt Romney
    Projected Winner
    Sheldon Whitehouse - inc
    Barry Hinckley
    Projected Winner
    House District 1
    David Cicilline - inc
    Brendan Doherty
    Projected Winner
    2012 Elections On Demand

    Presidential Races


    Senate & Governor Races


    Competitive House Races

    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political

    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics

    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report

    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas

    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report

    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball

    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers

    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America

    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre

    Election Projection Resources
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