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Tennessee  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 6, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • April 5, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • August 2, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Tennessee is the 10th most conservative state, voting 22.33% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Tennessee is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Tennessee ranks 8th among the 50 states.
     


    Presidential Race

    Race for the White House


    GOP Candidates
  • Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
  • Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
  • DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - President of the United States
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  Republican Bob Corker is seeking re-election for the first time in 2012.  He currently faces only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Robert Corker - Incumbent
  • James Durkan
  • Brenda Lenard
  • Zachary Poskevich
  • DEM Candidates

  • Larry Crim
  • Grover Mullins, Jr.
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Solid GOP Hold

     
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2012
     
    Competitive House Races
    No competitive races in 2012
     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Phil Roe (R)-inc vs. Alan Woodruff (D)
  • District 2:  John Duncan, Jr. (R)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 3:  Chuck Fleischmann? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
  • District 4:  Scott DesJarlais (R)-inc vs. Eric Stewart (D)
  • District 5:  Jim Cooper (D)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 6:  Diane Lynn Black (R)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 7:  Marsha Blackburn (R)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 8:  Steve Fincher (R)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 9:  Steve Cohen (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 GOP
      Representatives 7 GOP, 2 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 20 GOP, 13 DEM
      State House - GOP control 65 GOP, 34 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  William Haslam (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Senior Senator:  Lamar Alexander (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  Bob Corker (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  Phil Roe (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 2:  John Duncan (R) - 13th term
  • House District 3:  Charles Fleischmann (R) - 1st term
  • House District 4:  Scott DesJarlais (R) - 1st term
  • House District 5:  James Cooper (D) - 5th term
  • House District 6:  Diane Lynn Black (R) - 1st term
  • House District 7:  Marsha Blackburn (R) - 5th term
  • House District 8:  Steve Fincher (R) - 1st term
  • House District 9:  Steve Cohen (D) - 3rd term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Weak R -- Strong R -- Solid R --

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid R -- -- Weak R -- --
    Class 2 -- Strong R -- -- Solid R --

    Governor -- Weak D -- Solid D -- Solid R

    House 5 GOP
    4 DEM
    4 GOP
    5 DEM
    4 GOP
    5 DEM
    4 GOP
    5 DEM
    4 GOP
    5 DEM
    7 GOP
    2 DEM
    CD-1 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-2 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-4 Solid R Mod D Strong D Solid D Solid D Solid R
    CD-5 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D
    CD-6 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid R
    CD-7 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-8 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid R
    CD-9 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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