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Texas  
 
General Information

Election Timeline

  • TBD - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • April 3, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • April 3, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • June 5, 2012 - Primary runoff
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
    •

    Latest Polls and Updates

    Conservative Ranking

    Texas is the 15th most conservative state, voting 19.03% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend

    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Texas is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking

    Texas ranks 12th among the 50 states.
     


    Presidential Race

    Race for the White House

    GOP Candidates
  • Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
  • Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania

    • DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - President of the United States

    • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Senate Race
    OPEN SEAT:  Three-term Republican Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison has decided against running for a fourth term in 2012.

    GOP Candidates

  • Marshall Addison
  • Curtis Cleaver
  • Rafael Cruz - Former Texas Solicitor General
  • David Dewhurst - Lt. Governor of Texas
  • Ben Gambini
  • Charles Holcomb - Retired Texas State Appeals Court Judge
  • Craig James
  • John Lee
  • Thomas Leppert - Former Dallas Mayor
  • Lela Pittenger

    • DEM Candidates

  • Addie Allen
  • Daniel Boone
  • Sean Hubbard

    • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Solid GOP Hold

     
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2012
     
    Competitive House Races
    Competitive races will be listed after a new district map emerges from the pending case in court.
     
    Other House Races
    Texas gains four seats after the 2010 census.  A suit has been filed against the new district map drawn by Republicans.  Until the case has been resolved and a new map finalized, Texas' current districts and their incumbents will be listed here.
     
  • District 1:  Louie Gohmert (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 2:  Ted Poe (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 3:  Sam Johnson (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 4:  Ralph Hall (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 5:  Jeb Hensarling (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 6:  Joe Barton (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 7:  John Culberson (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 8:  Kevin Brady (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 9:  Al Green (D)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 10:  Mike McCaul (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 11:  Michael Conaway (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 12:  Kay Granger (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 13:  "Mac" Thornberry (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 14:  OPEN:  ??? (R) - awaiting redistricting
  • District 15:  Ruben Hinojosa (D)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 16:  Silvestre Reyes (D)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 17:  William Flores (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 18:  Sheila Jackson Lee (D)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 19:  Randy Neugebauer (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 20:  Charlie Gonzalez (D)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 21:  Lamar Smith (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 22:  Pete Olsen (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 23:  Francisco Canseco (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 24:  Kenny Marchant (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 25:  Lloyd Doggett (D)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 26:  Michael Burgess (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 27:  Blake Farenthold (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 28:  Henry Cuellar (D)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 29:  Gene Green (D)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 30:  Eddie Johnson (D)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 31:  John Carter (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
  • District 32:  Pete Sessions (R)-inc - awaiting redistricting
    •
     
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 GOP
      Representatives 23 GOP, 9 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 19 GOP, 12 DEM
      State House - GOP control 101 GOP, 49 DEM

    Current Office Holders

  • Governor:  Rick Perry (R) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Lt. Governor:  David Dewhurst (R) - 3rd term, running for Senate in 2012
  • Senior Senator:  Kay Hutchison (R) - 3rd term, not seeking re-election in 2012
  • Junior Senator:  John Cornyn (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2014
  • House District 1:  Louie Gohmert (R) - 4th term
  • House District 2:  Ted Poe (R) - 4th term
  • House District 3:  Sam Johnson (R) - 11th term
  • House District 4:  Ralph Hall (R) - 16th term
  • House District 5:  Jeb Hensarling (R) - 5th term
  • House District 6:  Joe Barton (R) - 14th term
  • House District 7:  John Culberson (R) - 6th term
  • House District 8:  Kevin Brady (R) - 8th term
  • House District 9:  Al Green (D) - 4th term
  • House District 10:  Mike McCaul (R) - 4th term
  • House District 11:  Michael Conaway (R) - 4th term
  • House District 12:  Kay Granger (R) - 8th term
  • House District 13:  "Mac" Thornberry (R) - 9th term
  • House District 14:  Ron Paul (R) - 11th term (retiring)
  • House District 15:  Ruben Hinojosa (D) - 12th term
  • House District 16:  Silvestre Reyes (D) - 8th term
  • House District 17:  William Flores (R) - 1st term
  • House District 18:  Sheila Jackson Lee (D) - 9th term
  • House District 19:  Randy Neugebauer (R) - 5th term
  • House District 20:  Charlie Gonzalez (D) - 7th term
  • House District 21:  Lamar Smith (R) - 13th term
  • House District 22:  Pete Olsen (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 23:  Francisco Canseco (R) - 1st term
  • House District 24:  Kenny Marchant (R) - 4th term
  • House District 25:  Lloyd Doggett (D) - 9th term
  • House District 26:  Michael Burgess (R) - 5th term
  • House District 27:  Blake Farenthold (R) - 1st term
  • House District 28:  Henry Cuellar (D) - 4th term
  • House District 29:  Gene Green (D) - 10th term
  • House District 30:  Eddie Johnson (D) - 10th term
  • House District 31:  John Carter (R) - 5th term
  • House District 32:  Pete Sessions (R) - 8th term

    • Historical Partisan Snapshot
     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Strong R --
    Senate
    Class 1 Solid R -- -- Solid R -- --
    Class 2 -- Strong R -- -- Strong R --
    Governor -- Solid R -- Mod R -- Strong R
    House 13 GOP
    17 DEM    		 15 GOP
    17 DEM    		 21 GOP
    11 DEM    		 19 GOP
    13 DEM    		 20 GOP
    12 DEM    		 23 GOP
    9 DEM
    CD-1 Strong D Strong D Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-2 Solid D Solid D Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-4 Solid D Solid D Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-5 Strong R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-6 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-7 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Strong R Solid R
    CD-8 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-9 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-10 Solid D Solid D Solid R Solid R Strong R Solid R
    CD-11 Strong D Mod D Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-12 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-13 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-14 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-15 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-16 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-17 Solid D Weak D Weak D Solid D Mod D Solid R
    CD-18 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-19 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-20 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-21 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-22 Solid R Solid R Strong R Strong D Mod R Solid R
    CD-23 Solid R Weak R Solid R Weak D Strong D Weak R
    CD-24 Solid D Solid D Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-25 Solid D Strong D Solid D Solid D Solid D Mod D
    CD-26 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-27 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Weak R
    CD-28 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D
    CD-29 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-30 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-31 NA Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-32 NA Solid R Strong R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    BOLD - party turnover
    Party change not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2004 election.
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
    •
     

    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political

     Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics

     D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report

     Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas

     David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report

     Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball

     Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers

     Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America

     Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics
    2012 Projections, State-by-State

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