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Utah  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 15, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 26, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • June 26, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Utah is the 3rd most conservative state, voting 35.30% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Utah is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Utah ranks 11th among the 50 states.
     

    Projected Races
    Click on a race for details

    Presidential Race


    Barack Obama - inc  vs.  Mitt Romney

    Senate Race


    Orrin Hatch - inc  vs.  Scott Howell

    Governor Race


    Gary Herbert - inc  vs.  Peter Cooke

    Competitive House Races


  • District 4:  Jim Matheson - inc  vs.  Mia Love
  • Other House Races


    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Rob Bishop (R)-inc vs. Donna McAleer (D)
  • District 2:  NEW SEAT: Chris Stewart (R) vs. Jay Seegmiller (D)
  • District 3:  Jason Chaffetz (R)-inc vs. Soren Simonsen (D)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 GOP
      Representatives 2 GOP, 1 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 21 GOP, 7 DEM, 1 vacant
      State House - GOP control 57 GOP, 17 DEM, 1 vacant

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Gary Herbert (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Lt. Governor:  Gregory Bell (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Senior Senator:  Orrin Hatch (R) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Junior Senator:  Mike Lee (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2016
  • House District 1:  Rob Bishop (R) - 5th term
  • House District 2:  Jim Matheson (D) - 6th term (running in CD-4)
  • House District 3:  Jason Chaffetz (R) - 2nd term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Solid R --

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid R -- -- Solid R -- --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid R -- -- Solid R

    Governor Solid R -- Solid R -- Solid R Solid R

    House 2 GOP
    1 DEM
    2 GOP
    1 DEM
    2 GOP
    1 DEM
    2 GOP
    1 DEM
    2 GOP
    1 DEM
    2 GOP
    1 DEM
    CD-1 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-2 Strong D Weak D Strong D Solid D Weak D
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Utah Race Tracking
    President
    Barack Obama - inc
    vs
    Mitt Romney
    Projected Winner
    Senate
    Orrin Hatch - inc
    vs
    Scott Howell
    Projected Winner
    Governor
    Gary Herbert - inc
    vs
    Peter Cooke
    Projected Winner
    House District 4
    Jim Matheson - inc
    vs
    Mia Love
    Projected Winner
    2012 Elections On Demand


    Presidential Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Senate & Governor Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Competitive House Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    Election Projection Resources
     
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    e-mail Scott at:
    electionprojection-at-
    gmail <put a period here> com
     

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