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Election Timeline
March 15, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 26, 2012 - Presidential primaries
June 26, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Utah is the 3rd most conservative state, voting
35.30% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Utah is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Utah ranks 11th among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Incumbent: Republican Orrin Hatch seeks a seventh term in 2012 He faces primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Orrin Hatch - Incumbent
Tim Aalders
Dale Ash
Arlan Brunson
Kevin Fisk
Christopher Herrod - Utah State Representative
Dan Liljenquist - Former Utah State Senator
DEM Candidates
Peter Ashdown
Christopher Stout
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Solid GOP Hold
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Incumbent: Republican Gary Herbert won a special election in 2010. He is up for a first tull term in 2012.
GOP Candidates
Gary Herbert - Incumbent
David Kirkham
Morgan Philpot - Former Utah State Representative
Kenneth Sumsion - Utah State Representative
DEM Candidates
none so far
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Solid GOP Hold
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District 4
Incumbent Democrat Jim Matheson, incumbent in the old District 2, is now in District 4 and will seek a seventh term here in 2012.
He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
James Cobb
Bob Fuehr
Mia Love - Sarasota Springs Mayor
Stephen Sandstrom - Utah State Representative
Carl Wimmer - Utah State Representative
DEM Candidates
Jim Matheson - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Rob Bishop? (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 2: NEW SEAT: ??? (R) (currently unopposed)
District 3: Jason Chaffetz? (R)-inc vs. Richard Clark (D)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
2 GOP, 1 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
21 GOP, 7 DEM, 1 vacant |
| State House - GOP control |
57 GOP, 17 DEM, 1 vacant |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Gary Herbert (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
Lt. Governor: Gregory Bell (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
Senior Senator: Orrin Hatch (R) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: Mike Lee (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2016
House District 1: Rob Bishop (R) - 5th term
House District 2: Jim Matheson (D) - 6th term
House District 3: Jason Chaffetz (R) - 2nd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
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| Governor |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid R |
Solid R |
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| House |
2 GOP
1 DEM |
2 GOP
1 DEM |
2 GOP
1 DEM |
2 GOP
1 DEM |
2 GOP
1 DEM |
2 GOP
1 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-2 |
Strong D |
Weak D |
Strong D |
Solid D |
Weak D |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
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| BOLD - party turnover |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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