|
Election Projection cannot screen all advertisements appearing here. Therefore, I do not necessarily endorse the products and/or services shown.
|
|
| |
|---|
| Virginia |
 |
|
|
| |
|---|
|
Election Timeline
March 6, 2012 - Presidential primaries
March 29, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 12, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Virginia is the 27th most conservative state, voting
for Obama in 2008 but 0.97% more Republican than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Virginia is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Virginia ranks 42nd among the 50 states.
|
|
| |
|
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
|
| |
|
|
OPEN SEAT:
Incumbent Democrat Jim Webb, a freshman senator, will retire in 2013. He is not seeking re-election in 2012.
GOP Candidates
George Allen - Former U.S. Senator from Virginia
Tim Donner
Earl Jackson, Sr.
Robert Marshall - Virginia State Delegate
David McCormick
Jamie Radtke
DEM Candidates
Timothy Kaine - Former Virginia Governor
Courtney Lynch
Julien Modica
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
|
| |
|
|
No competitive races in 2012 - may change once redistricting is complete.
|
| |
|
|
|
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Robert Wittman (R)-inc vs. Adam Cook (D)
District 2: Scott Rigell? (R)-inc vs. Paul Hirschbiel, Jr. (D) - possibly competitive
District 3: Bobby Scott (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 4: Randy Forbes? (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 5: Robert Hurt (R)-inc vs. Payton Williams, Jr. (D)
District 6: Bob Goodlatte (R)-inc vs. Andy Schmookler (D)
District 7: Eric Cantor (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 8: Jim Moran, Jr.? (D)-inc vs. Patrick Murray (R)
District 9: Morgan Griffith (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 10: Frank Wolf (R)-inc vs. John Douglass (D)
District 11: Gerry Connolly (D)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
|
| |
|
|
Current Partisan Breakdown
|
| |
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
8 GOP, 3 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control via Lt. Gov. |
20 GOP, 20 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
59 GOP, 39 DEM, 2 IND |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Bob McDonnell (R) - 1st term, term-limited in 2013
Lt. Governor: Bill Bolling (R) - 2nd term, next election in 2013
Senior Senator: James Webb, Jr. (D) - 1st term, not seeking re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: Mark Warner (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
House District 1: Robert Wittman (R) - 3rd term
House District 2: Scott Rigell (R) - 1st term
House District 3: Bobby Scott (D) - 10th term
House District 4: Randy Forbes (R) - 6th term
House District 5: Robert Hurt (R) - 1st term
House District 6: Bob Goodlatte (R) - 10th term
House District 7: Eric Cantor (R) - 6th term
House District 8: Jim Moran, Jr. (D) - 11th term
House District 9: Morgan Griffith (R) - 1st term
House District 10: Frank Wolf (R) - 16th term
House District 11: Gerry Connolly (D) - 2nd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
|
| |
| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
|
| President |
Strong R |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak R |
-- |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
-- |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
|
Governor
(2001-11) |
Mod D |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
|
| House |
6R 4D 1I |
8 GOP
3 DEM |
8 GOP
3 DEM |
8 GOP
3 DEM |
5 GOP
6 DEM |
8 GOP
3 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-2 |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Weak R |
Weak D |
Strong R |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-4 |
Solid D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid IND |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak D |
Weak R |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-8 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-9 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Weak R |
| CD-10 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-11 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Weak D |
Weak D |
|
BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election. |
Race ratings:
|
"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
| Election Projection Resources |
|---|
EP's RSS Feed |
RSS
|
| 2010 Projection Results |
|
| 2008 Projection Results |
|
| 2006 Projection Results |
|
| 2004 Projection Results |
|
| Search this site |
provided by Google
|
| Contact Me |
e-mail Scott at:
thebloggingcaesar
-at- yahoo.com
|
|
|
