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Vermont  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 6, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • June 14, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • August 28, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Vermont is the second least conservative state, voting 29.74% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Vermont is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Vermont ranks 49th among the 50 states.
     

    Projected Races
    Click on a race for details

    Presidential Race


    Barack Obama - inc  vs.  Mitt Romney

    Senate Race


    Bernie Sanders - inc  vs.  John MacGovern

    Governor Race


    Peter Shumlin - inc  vs.  Randy Brock

    Competitive House Races


    No competitive races in 2012

    Other House Races


    Projected winner listed first
  • District AL:  Peter Welch (D)-inc vs. Mark Donka
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 DEM, 1 IND
      Representatives 1 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - DEM control 8 GOP, 20 DEM, 2 PROG
      State House - DEM control 48 GOP, 94 DEM, 8 other

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Peter Shumlin (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Lt. Governor:  Phil Scott (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Senior Senator:  Patrick Leahy (D) - 7th term, up for re-election in 2016
  • Junior Senator:  Bernie Sanders (I) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District AL:  Peter Welch (D) - 3rd term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Mod D -- Solid D -- Solid D --

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid R -- -- Solid I -- --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid D -- -- Solid D

    Governor Mod D Strong R Solid R Solid R Solid R Weak D

    House 1 IND 1 IND 1 IND 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 DEM
    CD-AL Solid I Solid I Solid I Mod D Solid D Solid D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Vermont Race Tracking
    President
    Barack Obama - inc
    vs
    Mitt Romney
    Projected Winner
    Senate
    Bernie Sanders - inc
    vs
    John MacGovern
    Projected Winner
    Governor
    Peter Shumlin - inc
    vs
    Randy Brock
    Projected Winner
    2012 Elections On Demand


    Presidential Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Senate & Governor Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Competitive House Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    Election Projection Resources
     
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    e-mail Scott at:
    electionprojection-at-
    gmail <put a period here> com
     

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