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Vermont  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 6, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • June 14, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • August 28, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Vermont is the second least conservative state, voting 29.74% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Vermont is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Vermont ranks 49th among the 50 states.
     


    Presidential Race

    Race for the White House


    GOP Candidates
  • Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
  • Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
  • DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - President of the United States
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  Socialist Independent Bernie Sanders seeks re-election for the first time in 2012.

    GOP Candidates

  • none so far
  • DEM Candidates

  • none so far
  • IND Candidates

  • Bernie Sanders - Incumbent
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Solid IND Hold

     
    Governor's Race
    Incumbent:  First-term Governor Peter Shumlin, Democrat, seeks re-election in 2012.  He currently faces no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Randy Brock - Vermont State Senator
  • DEM Candidates

  • Peter Shumlin - Incumbent
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Solid DEM Hold

     
    Competitive House Races
    No competitive races in 2012
     
    Other House Races
  • District AL:  Peter Welch (D)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 DEM, 1 IND
      Representatives 1 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - DEM control 8 GOP, 20 DEM, 2 PROG
      State House - DEM control 48 GOP, 94 DEM, 8 other

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Peter Shumlin (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Lt. Governor:  Phil Scott (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Senior Senator:  Patrick Leahy (D) - 7th term, up for re-election in 2016
  • Junior Senator:  Bernie Sanders (I) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District AL:  Peter Welch (D) - 3rd term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Mod D -- Solid D -- Solid D --

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid R -- -- Solid I -- --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid D -- -- Solid D

    Governor Mod D Strong R Solid R Solid R Solid R Weak D

    House 1 IND 1 IND 1 IND 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 DEM
    CD-AL Solid I Solid I Solid I Mod D Solid D Solid D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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