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| Vermont |
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Election Timeline
March 6, 2012 - Presidential primaries
June 14, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 28, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Vermont is the second least conservative state, voting
29.74% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Vermont is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Vermont ranks 49th among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Incumbent: Socialist Independent Bernie Sanders seeks re-election for the first time in 2012.
GOP Candidates
none so far
DEM Candidates
none so far
IND Candidates
Bernie Sanders - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Solid IND Hold
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Incumbent: First-term Governor Peter Shumlin, Democrat, seeks re-election in 2012. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Randy Brock - Vermont State Senator
DEM Candidates
Peter Shumlin - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Solid DEM Hold
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No competitive races in 2012
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District AL: Peter Welch (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 DEM, 1 IND |
| Representatives |
1 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
8 GOP, 20 DEM, 2 PROG |
| State House - DEM control |
48 GOP, 94 DEM, 8 other |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Peter Shumlin (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
Lt. Governor: Phil Scott (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
Senior Senator: Patrick Leahy (D) - 7th term, up for re-election in 2016
Junior Senator: Bernie Sanders (I) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
House District AL: Peter Welch (D) - 3rd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Mod D |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Solid I |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
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| Governor |
Mod D |
Strong R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak D |
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| House |
1 IND |
1 IND |
1 IND |
1 DEM |
1 DEM |
1 DEM |
| CD-AL |
Solid I |
Solid I |
Solid I |
Mod D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
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| BOLD - party turnover |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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