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Washington  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 3, 2012 - Presidential caucuses
  • May 18, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • August 7, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Washington is the 12th least conservative state, voting 9.81% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Washington is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Washington ranks 31st among the 50 states.
     


    Presidential Race

    Race for the White House


    GOP Candidates
  • Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
  • Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
  • DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - President of the United States
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  Democrat Maria Cantwell is seeking a third term in 2012.  She currently faces no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Michael Baumgartner - Washington State Senator
  • Arthur Coday, Jr.
  • Nancy Travis
  • Philip Yin
  • DEM Candidates

  • Maria Cantwell - Incumbent
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Strong DEM Hold

     
    Governor's Race
    OPEN SEAT:  Democrat Christine Gregoire will not seek a third term in 2012.

    GOP Candidates

  • Sharham Hadian
  • Rob McKenna - Washington Attorney General
  • DEM Candidates

  • Jay Inslee - U.S. Representative from Washington
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain

     
    Competitive House Races
    District 1
    OPEN SEAT:  Incumbent Democrat Jay Inslee is running for Governor.  He will not seek re-election to the House in 2012.

    GOP Candidates

  • Larry Ishmael - Former Issaquah School Board President
  • John Koster - Snohomish County Councilman
  • DEM Candidates

  • Darcy Burner - Former Candidate for U.S. House
  • Suzan DelBene
  • Roger Goodman - Washington State Representative
  • Steve Hobbs - Washington State Senator
  • Darshan Rauniyar
  • Laura Ruderman - Former Washington State Representative
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 2:  Rick Larsen (D)-inc vs. Greg Anders (R) - possibly competitive
  • District 3:  Jaime Beutler (R)-inc vs. Jon Haugen (D) - possibly competitive
  • District 4:  Richard "Doc" Hastings? (R)-inc vs. Jay Clough (D)
  • District 5:  Cathy Rodgers (R)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 6:  Norman Dicks (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
  • District 7:  Jim McDermott? (D)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 8:  Dave Reichert (R)-inc vs. ??? (D) - possibly competitive
  • District 9:  Adam Smith (D)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 10:  NEW SEAT:  Dennis Heck (D) vs. ??? (R)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 4 GOP, 5 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 22 GOP, 27 DEM
      State House - DEM control 42 GOP, 56 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Christine Gregoire (D) - 2nd term, not seeking re-election in 2012
  • Lt. Governor:  Brad Owen (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Senior Senator:  Patty Murray (D) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Junior Senator:  Maria Cantwell (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  Jay Inslee (D) - 7th term (running for Governor)
  • House District 2:  Rick Larsen (D) - 6th term
  • House District 3:  Jaime Beutler (R) - 1st term
  • House District 4:  Richard "Doc" Hastings (R) - 9th term
  • House District 5:  Cathy Rodgers (R) - 4th term
  • House District 6:  Norman Dicks (D) - 18th term
  • House District 7:  Jim McDermott (D) - 12th term
  • House District 8:  Dave Reichert (R) - 4th term
  • House District 9:  Adam Smith (D) - 8th term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Mod Dem -- Mod Dem -- Strong Dem --

    Senate
    Class 1 Weak Dem -- -- Solid Dem -- --
    Class 3 -- -- Strong Dem -- -- Weak Dem

    Governor Solid DEM -- Weak DEM -- Mod DEM --

    House 3 GOP
    6 DEM
    3 GOP
    6 DEM
    3 GOP
    6 DEM
    3 GOP
    6 DEM
    3 GOP
    6 DEM
    4 GOP
    5 DEM
    CD-1 Strong D Mod D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-2 Mod D Mod D Solid D Solid D Solid D Weak D
    CD-3 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Mod R
    CD-4 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-5 Solid R Solid R Solid R Strong R Solid R Solid R
    CD-6 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-7 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-8 Solid R Solid R Weak R Weak R Mod R Weak R
    CD-9 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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