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Election Timeline
March 3, 2012 - Presidential caucuses
May 18, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 7, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Washington is the 12th least conservative state, voting
9.81% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Washington is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Washington ranks 31st among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Incumbent: Democrat Maria Cantwell is seeking a third term in 2012. She currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Michael Baumgartner - Washington State Senator
Arthur Coday, Jr.
Nancy Travis
Philip Yin
DEM Candidates
Maria Cantwell - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Strong DEM Hold
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OPEN SEAT: Democrat Christine Gregoire will not seek a third term in 2012.
GOP Candidates
Sharham Hadian
Rob McKenna - Washington Attorney General
DEM Candidates
Jay Inslee - U.S. Representative from Washington
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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District 1
OPEN SEAT: Incumbent Democrat Jay Inslee is running for Governor. He will not seek re-election to the House in 2012.
GOP Candidates
Larry Ishmael - Former Issaquah School Board President
John Koster - Snohomish County Councilman
DEM Candidates
Darcy Burner - Former Candidate for U.S. House
Suzan DelBene
Roger Goodman - Washington State Representative
Steve Hobbs - Washington State Senator
Darshan Rauniyar
Laura Ruderman - Former Washington State Representative
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 2: Rick Larsen (D)-inc vs. Greg Anders (R) - possibly competitive
District 3: Jaime Beutler (R)-inc vs. Jon Haugen (D) - possibly competitive
District 4: Richard "Doc" Hastings? (R)-inc vs. Jay Clough (D)
District 5: Cathy Rodgers (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 6: Norman Dicks (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 7: Jim McDermott? (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 8: Dave Reichert (R)-inc vs. ??? (D) - possibly competitive
District 9: Adam Smith (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 10: NEW SEAT: Dennis Heck (D) vs. ??? (R)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
4 GOP, 5 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
22 GOP, 27 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
42 GOP, 56 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Christine Gregoire (D) - 2nd term, not seeking re-election in 2012
Lt. Governor: Brad Owen (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
Senior Senator: Patty Murray (D) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Maria Cantwell (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Jay Inslee (D) - 7th term (running for Governor)
House District 2: Rick Larsen (D) - 6th term
House District 3: Jaime Beutler (R) - 1st term
House District 4: Richard "Doc" Hastings (R) - 9th term
House District 5: Cathy Rodgers (R) - 4th term
House District 6: Norman Dicks (D) - 18th term
House District 7: Jim McDermott (D) - 12th term
House District 8: Dave Reichert (R) - 4th term
House District 9: Adam Smith (D) - 8th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Mod Dem |
-- |
Mod Dem |
-- |
Strong Dem |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak Dem |
-- |
-- |
Solid Dem |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Strong Dem |
-- |
-- |
Weak Dem |
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| Governor |
Solid DEM |
-- |
Weak DEM |
-- |
Mod DEM |
-- |
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| House |
3 GOP
6 DEM |
3 GOP
6 DEM |
3 GOP
6 DEM |
3 GOP
6 DEM |
3 GOP
6 DEM |
4 GOP
5 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Strong D |
Mod D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Mod D |
Mod D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Weak D |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Mod R |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-6 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-7 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-8 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak R |
Weak R |
Mod R |
Weak R |
| CD-9 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Strong D |
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| BOLD - party turnover |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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