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| Wisconsin |
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Election Timeline
April 3, 2012 - Presidential primaries
June 1, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 14, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Wisconsin is the 17th least conservative state, voting
6.64% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Wisconsin is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Wisconsin ranks 39th among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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OPEN SEAT:
Four-term Democrat Herb Kohl will not seek re-election to a fifth term in 2012.
GOP Candidates
Jeff Fitzgerald - Wisconsin State Representative
Marh Neumann - Former U.S. Representative from Wisconsin
John Schiess
Kip Alan Smith
Tommy Thompson - Former Wisconsin Governor
DEM Candidates
Tammy Baldwin - U.S. Representative from Wisconsin
Gregory Paules
Vittorio Spadaro
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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Special Recall Election: Republican incumbent Scott Walker faces a recall election sometime this year.
Opponents have gathered the necessary number of signatures to require the special election.
GOP Candidates
Scott Walker - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Kathleen Falk - Former Dane County Executive
Kathleen Vinehout - Wisconsin State Senator
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
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District 7
Incumbent: Freshman Republican Sean Duffy is up re-election for the first time in 2012. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Sean Duffy - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Patrick Kreitlow - Former Wisconsin State Senator
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Paul Ryan (R)-inc vs. Robert Zerban (D)
District 2: OPEN: ??? (D) (currently unopposed)
District 3: Ron Kind (D)-inc vs. Ray Boland (R)
District 4: Gwendolynne Moore (D)-inc vs. Dan Sebring (R)
District 5: Jim Sensenbrenner, Jr. (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 6: Tom Petri? (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 8: Reid Ribble (R)-inc vs. James Wall (D)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
5 GOP, 3 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
17 GOP, 16 DEM |
| State Assembly - GOP control |
59 GOP, 39 DEM, 1 IND |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Scott Walker (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
Lt. Governor: Rebecca Kleefisch (R) - 1st term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Herb Kohl (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: Ron Johnson (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2016
House District 1: Paul Ryan (R) - 7th term
House District 2: Tammy Baldwin (D) - 7th term (running for Senate)
House District 3: Ronald Kind (D) - 8th term
House District 4: Gwendolynne Moore (D) - 4th term
House District 5: Jim Sensenbrenner, Jr. (R) - 17th term
House District 6: Tom Petri (R) - 10th term
House District 7: Sean Duffy (R) - 1st term
House District 8: Reid Ribble (R) - 1st term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Weak D |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
-- |
Weak R |
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| Governor |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
Mod R |
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| House |
4 GOP 5 DEM |
4 GOP 4 DEM |
4 GOP 4 DEM |
3 GOP 5 DEM |
3 GOP 5 DEM |
5 GOP 3 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-2 |
Weak D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Strong D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Weak D |
| CD-4 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-5 |
Solid D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Mod R |
| CD-8 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak D |
Mod D |
Mod R |
| CD-9 |
Solid R |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election. |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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