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West Virginia  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • January 28, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • May 8, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • May 8, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    West Virginia is the 14th most conservative state, voting 20.36% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, West Virginia is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    West Virginia ranks 3rd among the 50 states.
     

    Projected Races
    Click on a race for details

    Presidential Race


    Barack Obama - inc  vs.  Mitt Romney

    Senate Race


    Joseph Manchin - inc  vs.  John Raese

    Governor Race


    Earl Ray Tomblin - inc  vs.  Bill Maloney

    Competitive House Races


    No competitive races in 2012

    Other House Races


    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  David McKinley (R)-inc vs. Susan Thorn (D)
  • District 2:  Shelly Capito (R)-inc vs. Howard Swint (D)
  • District 3:  Nick Rahall, II (D)-inc vs. Rick Snuffer (R) - possibly competitive
  •  
    Additional Information

    Current Partisan Breakdown


     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 2 GOP, 1 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 6 GOP, 28 DEM
      State House - DEM control 34 GOP, 65 DEM, 1 vacant

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Earl Ray Tomblin (D) - 1st term (partial), up for re-election in 2012
  • Senior Senator:  Jay Rockefeller, IV (D) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  Joe Manchin, III (D) - 1st term (partial), up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  David McKinley (R) - 1st term
  • House District 2:  Shelley Capito (R) - 6th term
  • House District 3:  Nick Joe Rahall, II (D) - 18th term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Mod R -- Mod R -- Strong R --

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid D -- -- Solid D -- Strong D
    Class 2 -- Solid D -- -- Solid D --

    Governor Weak D -- Solid D -- Solid D --

    House 1 GOP
    2 DEM
    1 GOP
    2 DEM
    1 GOP
    2 DEM
    1 GOP
    2 DEM
    1 GOP
    2 DEM
    2 GOP
    1 DEM
    CD-1 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Weak R
    CD-2 Mod R Solid R Solid R Strong R Strong R Solid R
    CD-3 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    West Virginia Race Tracking
    President
    Mitt Romney
    vs
    Barack Obama - inc
    Projected Winner
    Senate
    Joseph Manchin - inc
    vs
    John Raese
    Projected Winner
    Governor
    Earl Ray Tomblin - inc
    vs
    Bill Maloney
    Projected Winner
    2012 Elections On Demand


    Presidential Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Senate & Governor Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Competitive House Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    Election Projection Resources
     
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    e-mail Scott at:
    electionprojection-at-
    gmail <put a period here> com
     

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