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| West Virginia |
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Election Timeline
January 28, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
May 8, 2012 - Presidential primaries
May 8, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
West Virginia is the 14th most conservative state, voting
20.36% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, West Virginia is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
West Virginia ranks 3rd among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Incumbent: Freshman Senator Joe Manchin is up for a first full term in 2012 and also up to serve the short period between November, 2012 and January, 2013.
Due to the late Senator Robert Byrd's passing and the ensuing special election, two Senate elections will actually be held on November 6, 2012 - explanation
here.
Manchin currently faces only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
John Raese - 2010 GOP Nominee
DEM Candidates
Joseph Manchin, III - Incumbent
John Bennett - Former Gilmer County Schools Superintendent
Cody Regan
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Solid DEM Hold
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Incumbent: Democrat Earl Ray Tomblin won a special election in October, 2011 after ascending to the governorship when then-Governor Joe Manchin resigned to take a seat
in the Senate in November 2010. He is up for election to a first full term in 2012 and currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Bill Clark
Bill Maloney
Joseph Oliverio
Cody Regan
DEM Candidates
Earl Ray Tomblin - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
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No competitive races in 2012
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: David McKinley? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 2: Shelly Capito? (R)-inc vs. Michael Davis (D)
District 3: Nick Rahall, II (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
2 GOP, 1 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
6 GOP, 28 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
34 GOP, 65 DEM, 1 vacant |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Earl Ray Tomblin (D) - 1st term (partial), up for re-election in 2012
Senior Senator: Jay Rockefeller, IV (D) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2014
Junior Senator: Joe Manchin, III (D) - 1st term (partial), up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: David McKinley (R) - 1st term
House District 2: Shelley Capito (R) - 6th term
House District 3: Nick Joe Rahall, II (D) - 18th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Mod R |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Strong R |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Strong D |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
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| Governor |
Weak D |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
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| House |
1 GOP
2 DEM |
1 GOP
2 DEM |
1 GOP
2 DEM |
1 GOP
2 DEM |
1 GOP
2 DEM |
2 GOP
1 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Weak R |
| CD-2 |
Mod R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Strong D |
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| BOLD - party turnover |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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| Contact Me |
e-mail Scott at:
thebloggingcaesar
-at- yahoo.com
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