Final
Projections

Click on a map for details
Updated:
Tue. Nov 04, 2014
Senate
Republicans 52
Democrats 45
Independents 3
GOP +7, IND +1
House
Republicans 245
Democrats 190
GOP +11
Governors
Republicans 27
Democrats 22
Independents 1
DEM +1, IND +1
2014 Elections on Demand
Projections
 
Polls

Iowa 1st District Election

Election Day
November 8, 2016
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The Candidates

Iowa 1st District Election 2014 - Pat Murphy vs. Rod Blum
Democrat
Pat Murphy
Nominee
OPEN SEAT
 
Republican
Rod Blum
Nominee
OPEN SEAT:  Incumbent Democrat Bruce Braley is running for the Senate in 2014.  He is not seeking a 5th term in the House in 2014.
Republicans
  • Rod Blum  
Democrats
  • Pat Murphy - Iowa State Representative  
Party nominee -

Projection Data

Election Projection:  Pat Murphy by 0.7%
PunditDatePrediction
Charlie CookOctober 29Toss-up
Larry SabatoOctober 16Murphy +4 (Lean DEM)
Stuart RothenbergOctober 29Toss-up
Real Clear PoliticsOctober 27Toss-up
FirmDatesMurphyBlum
Loras College10/21 - 10/244244
The Polling Company (R)10/1 - 10/23940
Projection Calculations
MetricRaw ValueWeightNet Value
Pundit ratings1.050%0.5
Head-to-head polls0.550%0.3
Composite GenericDifferenceOffsetAdjustment
November 4, 2014 - details 2.42.00.1
Projection History
DateProjectionRating
October 18, 2014Murphy +2.7Weak DEM Hold
Preliminary-----Strong DEM Hold

Election Timeline

Iowa Polling Hours
Time Zone
Central
Polls Open
7:00AM Local time
Polls Close
9:00PM Local time
Important Dates
Filing Deadline
March 14, 2013
Primary Election
June 3, 2014
Election Day
November 4, 2014
Election Results
Iowa 1st District
Pat Murphy  48.8
Rod Blum  51.2
Called: Blum +2.4
Election Projection
Iowa 1st District
Pat Murphy  +0.7
Weak DEM Hold
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