Final
Projections

Click on a map for details
Updated:
Tue. Nov 04, 2014
Senate
Republicans 52
Democrats 45
Independents 3
GOP +7, IND +1
House
Republicans 245
Democrats 190
GOP +11
Governors
Republicans 27
Democrats 22
Independents 1
DEM +1, IND +1
2014 Elections on Demand
Projections
 
Polls

New Jersey 3rd District Election

Election Day
November 8, 2016
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The Candidates

New Jersey 3rd District Election 2014 - Tom MacArthur vs. Aimee Belgard
Republican
Tom MacArthur
Nominee
OPEN SEAT
 
Democrat
Aimee Belgard
Nominee
Incumbent:  Republican Jon Runyan is retiring at the end of his current term.  He is not seeking re-election in 2014.
Republicans
  • Tom MacArthur - Former Randolph Mayor  
  • Steve Lonegan - Former Bogota Mayor
Democrats
  • Aimee Belgard - Burlington County Freeholder  
  • Howard Keinhendler
  • Bruce Todd
Others
  • Frederick LaVergne(Democratic-Republican)
Party nominee -

Projection Data

Election Projection:  Tom MacArthur by 5.9%
PunditDatePrediction
Charlie CookJune 6MacArthur +4 (Lean GOP)
Larry SabatoJune 4MacArthur +4 (Lean GOP)
Stuart RothenbergOctober 29MacArthur +4 (Lean GOP)
Real Clear PoliticsSeptember 10MacArthur +4 (Lean GOP)
FirmDatesBelgardMacArthur
Richard Stockton College10/25 - 10/284146
Monmouth University10/9 - 10/134151
Projection Calculations
MetricRaw ValueWeightNet Value
Pundit ratings4.050%2.0
Head-to-head polls7.550%3.8
Composite GenericDifferenceOffsetAdjustment
November 4, 2014 - details 2.42.00.1
Projection History
DateProjectionRating
October 14, 2014MacArthur +5.2Mod GOP Hold
June 05, 2014MacArthur +0.4Weak GOP Hold
May 09, 2014Democrat +0.6Weak DEM Gain
Preliminary-----Weak GOP Hold

Election Timeline

New Jersey Polling Hours
Time Zone
Eastern
Polls Open
6:00AM Local time
Polls Close
8:00PM Local time
Important Dates
Filing Deadline
March 31, 2014
Primary Election
June 3, 2014
Election Day
November 4, 2014

Projection Data

Polls will be posted as they become available.
Election Results
New Jersey 3rd District
Tom MacArthur  54.7
Aimee Belgard  43.6
Called: MacArthur +11.1
Election Projection
New Jersey 3rd District
Tom MacArthur  +5.9
Mod GOP Hold
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