Final
Projections

Click on a map for details
Updated:
Tue. Nov 04, 2014
Senate
Republicans 52
Democrats 45
Independents 3
GOP +7, IND +1
House
Republicans 245
Democrats 190
GOP +11
Governors
Republicans 27
Democrats 22
Independents 1
DEM +1, IND +1
2014 Elections on Demand
Projections
 
Polls

New York 11th District Election

Election Day
November 8, 2016
Election Projection cannot screen all advertisements appearing here.  Therefore, I do not necessarily endorse the products and/or services shown.

The Candidates

New York 11th District Election 2014 - Mike Grimm vs. Domenic Recchia
Republican
Mike Grimm
Incumbent
Democrat
Domenic Recchia
Nominee
Incumbent:  Republican Mike Grimm is seeking a third term in 2014.  He faced no primary opposition.
Republicans
  • Mike Grimm - Incumbent  
Democrats
  • Domenic Recchia, Jr. - Brooklyn Councilman  
  • Erick Salgado
Others
  • Hank Bardel (Green)
Party nominee -

Projection Data

Election Projection:  Mike Grimm by 7.1%
PunditDatePrediction
Charlie CookNovember 3Grimm +4 (Lean GOP)
Larry SabatoOctober 30Grimm +4 (Lean GOP)
Stuart RothenbergOctober 29Grimm +2 (Tilt GOP)
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3Toss-up
FirmDatesRecchiaGrimm
Siena10/26 - 10/283453
GBA Strategies (D)9/18 - 9/184646
Projection Calculations
MetricRaw ValueWeightNet Value
Pundit ratings2.550%1.3
Head-to-head polls11.550%5.8
Composite GenericDifferenceOffsetAdjustment
November 4, 2014 - details 2.42.00.1
Projection History
DateProjectionRating
November 01, 2014Grimm +6.1Mod GOP Hold
September 23, 2014Grimm +1.1Weak GOP Hold
September 03, 2014Recchia +4.8Weak DEM Gain
August 26, 2014Recchia +5.0Mod DEM Gain
August 25, 2014Recchia +4.8Weak DEM Gain
August 18, 2014Recchia +5.0Mod DEM Gain
August 12, 2014Recchia +4.8Weak DEM Gain
August 11, 2014Recchia +5.1Mod DEM Gain
August 04, 2014Recchia +4.8Weak DEM Gain
July 28, 2014Recchia +5.1Mod DEM Gain
May 09, 2014Recchia +4.6Weak DEM Gain
Preliminary-----Weak DEM Gain

Election Timeline

New York Polling Hours
Time Zone
Eastern
Polls Open
6:00AM Local time
Polls Close
9:00PM Local time
Important Dates
Filing Deadline
April 10, 2014
Primary Election
June 24, 2014
Election Day
November 4, 2014
Election Results
New York 11th District
Mike Grimm  55.4
Domenic Recchia  42.1
Called: Grimm +13.3
Election Projection
New York 11th District
Mike Grimm-inc  +7.1
Mod GOP Hold
Latest Posts
©Copyright 2003-2015 Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved