Final
Projections

Click on a map for details
Updated:
Tue. Nov 04, 2014
Senate
Republicans 52
Democrats 45
Independents 3
GOP +7, IND +1
House
Republicans 245
Democrats 190
GOP +11
Governors
Republicans 27
Democrats 22
Independents 1
DEM +1, IND +1
2014 Elections on Demand
Projections
 
Polls

New York 1st District Election

Election Day
November 8, 2016
Election Projection cannot screen all advertisements appearing here.  Therefore, I do not necessarily endorse the products and/or services shown.

The Candidates

New York 1st District Election 2014 - Tim Bishop vs. Lee Zeldin
Democrat
Tim Bishop
Incumbent
Republican
Lee Zeldin
Nominee
Incumbent:  Democrat Tim Bishop is seeking a seventh term in 2014.  He faced no primary opposition.
Republicans
  • Lee Zeldin - New York State Senator  
  • George Demos
  • Dan Innis
Democrats
  • Tim Bishop - Incumbent  
Party nominee -

Projection Data

Election Projection:  Lee Zeldin by 0.9%
PunditDatePrediction
Charlie CookOctober 29Toss-up
Larry SabatoOctober 30Zeldin +4 (Lean GOP)
Stuart RothenbergOctober 29Toss-up
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3Toss-up
FirmDatesBishopZeldin
Siena10/26 - 10/294550
Public Opinion (R)9/23 - 9/254646
Projection Calculations
MetricRaw ValueWeightNet Value
Pundit ratings1.050%0.5
Head-to-head polls0.550%0.3
Composite GenericDifferenceOffsetAdjustment
November 4, 2014 - details 2.42.00.1
Projection History
DateProjectionRating
November 01, 2014Zeldin +0.4Weak GOP Gain
September 03, 2014Bishop +4.8Weak DEM Hold
August 26, 2014Bishop +5.0Mod DEM Hold
August 25, 2014Bishop +4.8Weak DEM Hold
August 18, 2014Bishop +5.0Mod DEM Hold
August 12, 2014Bishop +4.8Weak DEM Hold
August 11, 2014Bishop +5.1Mod DEM Hold
August 04, 2014Bishop +4.8Weak DEM Hold
July 28, 2014Bishop +5.1Mod DEM Hold
May 09, 2014Bishop +4.6Weak DEM Hold
Preliminary-----Weak DEM Hold

Election Timeline

New York Polling Hours
Time Zone
Eastern
Polls Open
6:00AM Local time
Polls Close
9:00PM Local time
Important Dates
Filing Deadline
April 10, 2014
Primary Election
June 24, 2014
Election Day
November 4, 2014
Election Results
New York 1st District
Tim Bishop  45.2
Lee Zeldin  54.8
Called: Zeldin +9.6
Election Projection
New York 1st District
Lee Zeldin  +0.9
Weak GOP Gain
Latest Posts
©Copyright 2003-2015 Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved