Final
Projections

Click on a map for details
Updated:
Tue. Nov 04, 2014
Senate
Republicans 52
Democrats 45
Independents 3
GOP +7, IND +1
House
Republicans 245
Democrats 190
GOP +11
Governors
Republicans 27
Democrats 22
Independents 1
DEM +1, IND +1
2014 Elections on Demand
Projections
 
Polls

New York 24th District Election

Election Day
November 8, 2016
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The Candidates

New York 24th District Election 2014 - Dan Maffei vs. John Katko
Democrat
Dan Maffei
Incumbent
Republican
John Katko
Nominee
Incumbent:  Democrat Dan Maffei is seeking a third non-consecutive term in 2014.  He faced no primary opposition.
Republicans
  • John Katko - Former Assistant U.S. Attorney  
Democrats
  • Dan Maffei - Incumbent  
Party nominee -

Projection Data

Election Projection:  John Katko by 1.1%
PunditDatePrediction
Charlie CookOctober 29Toss-up
Larry SabatoSeptember 25Maffei +4 (Lean DEM)
Stuart RothenbergOctober 29Maffei +2 (Tilt DEM)
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3Maffei +4 (Lean DEM)
FirmDatesMaffeiKatko
Global Strategy (D)10/20 - 10/224540
Siena10/22 - 10/244252
Projection Calculations
MetricRaw ValueWeightNet Value
Pundit ratings2.550%1.3
Head-to-head polls4.550%2.3
Composite GenericDifferenceOffsetAdjustment
November 4, 2014 - details 2.42.00.1
Projection History
DateProjectionRating
November 01, 2014Katko +1.6Weak GOP Gain
Preliminary-----Strong DEM Hold

Election Timeline

New York Polling Hours
Time Zone
Eastern
Polls Open
6:00AM Local time
Polls Close
9:00PM Local time
Important Dates
Filing Deadline
April 10, 2014
Primary Election
June 24, 2014
Election Day
November 4, 2014
Election Results
New York 24th District
Dan Maffei  40.1
John Katko  59.9
Called: Katko +19.8
Election Projection
New York 24th District
John Katko  +1.1
Weak GOP Gain
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