In many states, a scandalous exit by a sitting senator would have the opposition party salivating at the chance for an easy
takeover. Idaho is not one of those states. Even though former Republican Senator Larry Craig's embarrassing restroom
arrest in August, 2007 forced him to bow out of a 2008 re-election bid, the GOP never worried about losing the seat.
Lt. Governor Jim Risch decided to make a run for Craig's open seat that year instead of waiting for the next gubernatorial contest
in 2010. Even with the pall of his disgraced predecessor's transgression still lingering, Risch soundly defeated his Democratic
opponent, former Democratic U.S. Rep. Larry LaRocco.
Now, six years later, Risch will have no problems claiming a second term. To get an idea of how safe the 2014 Idaho
Senate Race is for the incumbent, consider this: Risch won a scandal-laden open seat in a very good Democratic year against a
former congressman by a whopping 24 percentage points! The margin in 2014 will no doubt eclipse that rout.
Preliminary projection: Solid GOP Hold
You can track this race throughout the 2014 election season here at Election Projection by visiting the Idaho Senate Election
page for polls, projections and updates. Also, check out the 2014 Senate Elections page for a summary of all Senate races on tap
in 2014 complete with EP's colorful red and blue Senate map.
posted by Scott Elliott at 11:56pm 12/04/13 :: link