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Updated:
Mon. Oct 20, 2014
Senate
Republicans 52
Democrats 45
Independents 3
GOP +7, IND +1
House
Republicans 243
Democrats 192
GOP +9
Governors
Republicans 27
Democrats 22
Independents 1
DEM +1, IND +1
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2014 Texas Senate Race

The results for today's primary runoff in Texas will be posted on the Texas Secretary of State website.  Click here to follow the 2014 Texas runoff results as they come in this evening.  Polls in Texas close at 7:00 CDT.
Filed under:  2014 Texas Senate Race 
posted by Scott Elliott at 5:03pm 05/27/14 :: link
Tomorrow Texans will head to the polls to determine who will represent their parties in some important Lone Star State races.  The most significant runoff battle will reveal GOP Senator John Cornyn's Democratic opponent in the 2014 Texas Senate election.  Kesha Rogers and David Alameel made it to the runoff by earning the most votes in Texas' March 4 Democratic primary.

Further down the ballot, 91-year-old Ralph Hall, a congressman with over 30 years service who became a Republican in 2004, is in a highly-competitive nomination battle with John Ratcliffe, the Tea Party favorite.  In a interesting twist, Michelle Bachmann, a former Tea-Party-backed presidential candidate herself, has endorsed the incumbent.

Neither the Senate contest nor Hall's 4th district race appears to be competitive in the general election this year, so the runoff winners shouldn't affect the partisan outcome of these races.  As always, you can check back tomorrow for a link to the results.

posted by Scott Elliott at 12:16pm 05/26/14 :: link
The first primary in the nation is going on today in the Lone Star State.  Texas voters are heading to the polls to decide who will represent their party in the 2014 general election.  Since Texas is a runoff state, party nominees will likely not be identified in some races.  Two years ago, current Republican Senator Ted Cruz took advantage of a second-place primary finish to earn the nomination in the runoff against Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst.

Cruz is not running this year, but his presence has been felt nonetheless.  A Tea Party favorite, Cruz has been working toward a John Cornyn primary defeat.  That likely won't happen, but ongoing Tea Party activity will continue as a significant gauge of the political climate throughout this election season.

On the gubernatorial front, Attorney General Greg Abbott appears headed for easy victory in the GOP primary, while state Senator and famously-single Wendy Davis is also cruising to the nomination on the Democratic side.  General election polling so far indicates Abbott will start off as a strong favorite to retain the Texas governorship for Republicans.

Polls opened at 7am this morning Central Time and will close at 7pm.

Filed under:  2014 Texas Senate Race 
posted by Scott Elliott at 3:56pm 03/04/14 :: link
The Lone Star State figured to be another state in which the Senate race featured a primary battle more interesting than the general election.  With incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn almost assured of victory in November, one would have to look to the GOP nomination contest for any drama here.  But there may not be much drama there either.

Unlike his colleague Ted Cruz, Cornyn at times has not garnered the favor of conservative groups.  His decision to side with Republican leadership on Capitol Hill during last fall's government shutdown battle has put him at odds with the state's Tea Party voters.  As a result, a large field of Republican challengers has emerged to oppose his nomination.  The most well-known of the bunch is Congressman Steve Stockman.  His late entry into the race was a bit of a surprise, and his campaign has not enjoyed an impressive start.

He has stumbled out of the gate with little money and has struggled under charges of questionable ethics.  With a massive warchest at his disposal, Cornyn has wasted little time attacking Stockman.  His super-PAC opened the new year with an ad characterizing Stockman record as 'shady' and 'troubling.'  Apparently, despite having a 44-point lead over Stockman in a mid-December poll, Cornyn is taking the Congressman's challenge seriously.

Cornyn's posture may stem from the fact that Texas is a runoff state.  If he fails to reach 50% of the vote +1 in the March 4 GOP primary, he will have to face his closest competitor in a primary runoff in late May.  That would give Stockman, should he place second, another 2 1/2 months to eat into Cornyn advantage.

If Stockman can't shed the shadow of controversy and raise a lot of money quickly, however, I don't foresee Cornyn needing to worry about a runoff.  It looks to me like he'll earn a majority of the primary vote and go on to enjoy a very large majority of the general election vote in November.

Preliminary projection: Solid GOP Hold

You can track this race throughout the 2014 election season here at Election Projection by visiting the Texas Senate Election page for polls, projections and updates.  Also, check out the 2014 Senate Elections page for a summary of all Senate races on tap in 2014 complete with EP's colorful red and blue Senate map.

posted by Scott Elliott at 10:26pm 01/24/14 :: link
Election Projection
John Cornyn-inc  +19.7
Solid GOP Hold
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