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| Tuesday, May 7, 2013 |
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| Scandal-scarred Republican Ex-Gov Mark Sanford holds SC-1 for the GOP |
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In a race that had this conservative confronting my own convictions, Mark Sanford has won the special election for South Carolina's 1st District. As you may recall, Sanford gained fame..er..imfamy by visiting
his mistress in Argentina while claiming to be "hiking the Appalachian trail." His wife then divorced him, and it appeared his political career was over. However, I guess even wayward sons can win elections if
the voters are stacked enough in their favor.
Sanford's 54% won the day but pales when compared to Mitt Romney's 18-point advantage in this district last year. Perhaps there were plenty of values voters like me who decided to sit out the
proceedings rather than cast a vote for someone who has demonstrated such a lack of values. Am I happy a Republican held this seat? When I look at the balance of power in the House, sure I
am. But, frankly, this was a seat I would not have minded losing once Sanford got the nomination.
Filed under:
2013 Elections
posted by Scott Elliott at 9:57pm 05/07/13::
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| Wednesday, April 24, 2013 |
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| Military bans access to Southern Baptist website - updated |
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From Todd Starnes, Fox News:
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The U.S. Military has blocked access to the Southern Baptist Convention's website on an unknown number of military bases because it contains "hostile content" - just weeks after an Army briefing labeled Evangelical Christians and Roman Catholics as examples of religious extremism, Fox News has learned.
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Wow. I wonder if I'll reach old age before they haul me away to prison for my "hostile" beliefs. This is not the America I grew up in.
Update: I have been alerted by an astute reader that the details of this story have changed. Instead of the Military blocking SBC.net for "hostile content," the Baptist website was
blocked due to the presence of malware. Military filters designed to catch such software intervened and blocked the website. At last report, the malware had been removed and SBC.net was no longer
blocked. Webmasters at the SBC are working to better protect the site from viruses.
Filed under:
Christian faith
posted by Scott Elliott at 10:32pm 04/24/13::
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| Tuesday, April 23, 2013 |
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| Max Baucus' decision leaves Democrats with another open Senate seat to defend |
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Six-term Montana Senator Max Baucus has decided against trying for a seventh in 2014. His departure represents the seventh open seat Senate Democrats will be defending next year. Of those,
however, only three - Tom Harkin's seat in Iowa, Jay Rockefeller's seat in West Virginia and Baucus' seat - are considered competitive at this point in the cycle. But combined with a handful of vulnerable
Senate incumbents on the Democratic side, Baucus' exit makes the prospect of a GOP Senate majority a little more possible. That said, winning the net gain of six seats required to reclaim the Senate remains
a very problematic proposition for Republicans.
Filed under:
2014 Montana Senate Election
posted by Scott Elliott at 9:00pm 04/23/13::
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| Sunday, April 21, 2013 |
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| Massachusetts special senate election primary poll |
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In nine days, Bay Staters will head to the polls to choose their parties' choices to replace former Senator John Kerry, the new Secretary of State in the Obama administration.
A new poll conducted by Western New England Polling Institute shows Ed Markey ahead of Stephen Lynch
by 10 on the Democratic side and Gabriel Gomez leading by 6 over Michael Sullivan on the GOP side. A sidenote from the poll that I found interesting - especially in today's climate of political displeasure - is the
fact that 68 out of every 88 poll respondents who had an opinion were at least somewhat satisfied with the field of candidates.
While the primary contests potentially could be competitive (21% are undecided among those who plan to vote in the Democratic primary, and 30% of Republican primary voters have yet to settle on a choice),
the general election will probably not be.
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In hypothetical match-ups for the general election, both Democrats fare better than their Republican counterparts, although the numbers indicate Lynch is more likely to defeat any GOP Senate hopefuls.
When Markey is placed against any of the Republican challengers, he leads by a margin of 15 to 19 percentage points. But when Lynch is placed against the Republican challengers, he leads by a margin
of 32 to 36 percentage points.
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It seems any drama associated with the eventual outcome of this race will end after primary votes are cast and counted on April 30.
Filed under:
2013 Elections
2013 Massachusetts Special Senate Election
posted by Scott Elliott at 11:14pm 04/21/13::
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| Monday, March 18, 2013 |
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| Rothenberg: House likely to stay in Republican hands in 2014 |
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Stuart Rothenberg, a well-respected expert on congressional elections and a long-time member of my "pundit panel" for projecting House races here at Election Projection, has published
a quick overview of the 2014 landscape in the House with attention to
Democrats' opportunities for retaking the House. The blue team currently needs to net a gain of 17 districts to reach a 218-seat majority. By his estimation, there are barely that many vulnerable
Republicans for Democrats to target.
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That makes 17 districts where Democrats start with realistic opportunities to make gains. The list could grow, of course, with GOP retirements, unusually strong Democratic recruits or redrawn districts in Florida
and Texas. But 17 districts are not nearly enough opportunities to give Democrats a decent chance of taking back the House.
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If you factor in Democratic vulnerabilities, it's not hard to see Rothenberg's point.
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And while Democrats have opportunities, they also have seats that will need defending. At least 11 Democratic incumbents start off at risk.
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So, a year-and-a-half away from the next Election Day, Republicans, despite devastating electoral setbacks last year and recent talk of their political demise, are sitting in an enviable position when it comes to
controlling the lower chamber come January, 2015.
Filed under:
2014 House Elections
posted by Scott Elliott at 11:04pm 03/18/13::
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| Wednesday, March 13, 2013 |
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| Economic growth - another casualty of Obamacare? |
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It appears economic growth will be at least stifled as a result of Obamacare. According to Mike Ruffer, franchise owner of eigth Five Guys
burger joints, plans to expand are on hold because of the economic impact Obamacare will bring.
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[Ruffer has] iced plans to build another three restaurants until after the administration explains the exact rules and penalties employers will face. The law's plan to have those available March 1 has been pushed back to October.
"I'm kind of in a holding pattern," said Ruffer, a former Marriott executive who added that many franchise owners are in a similar situation.
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Even if the governmental rules changes perserve the feasibility of expanding, Five Guys customers will face higher prices when they patronize his restaurants.
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Prices of burgers and hot dogs at Five Guys, the national chain that started in Washington, are going to rise to cover the president's mandated insurance coverage.
"Any added costs are going to have to be passed on." [Ruffer] will need all the profits from at least one of his eight outlets just to cover his estimated added $60,000-a year in new Obamacare costs.
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Sadly, it'll be well too late to do anything about it once the true price of Obamacare is fully revealed.
Filed under:
Healthcare
posted by Scott Elliott at 10:26am 03/13/13::
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| Friday, March 8, 2013 |
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| Doctor who "cured" HIV baby was a Southern Baptist missionary |
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The apparent cure of an infant infected with the HIV virus has made national news. What has not be so widely published is the fact that Dr. Hannah Gay, the doctor whose aggressive treatment led to the
cure, and her husband served as Southern Baptist missionaries in Ethiopia back in the 1980's.
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Faith and godly compassion are guiding principles in the life of Hannah Gay, the University of Mississippi Medical Center pediatrician at the forefront of the reported cure of HIV in a 2-year-old girl born with the disease
in rural Mississippi.
Gay and her husband Paul served as Southern Baptist representatives in the Horn of Africa 25 years ago as HIV was taking root there, but Gay's interest in the disease is driven more by a desire to achieve the
best for children, rather than a desire to find a cure, her husband told Baptist Press.
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Ah, the rest of the story. What a timely encouragement to me one week away from the ninth anniversary of my parent's
homegoing.
Filed under:
The Blogging Caesar
posted by Scott Elliott at 12:38pm 03/08/13::
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| Monday, February 25, 2013 |
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| More Obamacare insanity - from Ben Stein - updated |
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This speaks so very loudly about the merits of Obamacare.
Oh well. As Nanci Pelosi said, now that they've passed it, we'll see more and more what's really in it.
Update: Correction: A reader has alerted me to the fact that this quote is incorrectly attributed to Ben Stein. However, though he did not say it, the message rings
true nonetheless.
Filed under:
Healthcare
posted by Scott Elliott at 2:11pm 02/25/13::
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| Wednesday, February 20, 2013 |
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| 2013 Elections: Interesting races |
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One of the things I want to focus on this year is the few off-year elections taking place around the country. To be sure 2013 will not be brimming with exciting contests, but, still, there will be several worth
keeping an eye on. The following list include the races I'll be tracking.
| 2013 Election Schedule |
| Governors |
Incumbent |
Date |
Primary |
| New Jersey |
Chris Christie |
11/05/2013 |
06/04/2013 |
| Virginia |
Open |
11/05/2013 |
06/11/2013 |
| Republican incumbent Bob McDonnell is term-limited |
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| U.S. Senate |
Incumbent |
Date |
Primary |
| Massachusetts |
Open |
06/25/2013 |
04/30/2013 |
| Democrat John Kerry confirmed as Secretary of State, 01/29/13 |
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| U.S. House |
Incumbent |
Date |
Primary |
| Illinois CD-2 |
Open |
06/25/2013 |
04/09/2013 |
| Democrat Jesse Jackson, Jr. resigned, 11/21/12 |
| Missouri CD-8 |
Open |
06/04/2013 |
02/09/2013 |
| Republican Jo Ann Emerson resigned, 01/22/13 |
| S. Carolina CD-1 |
Open |
11/04/2013 |
03/19/2013 |
| Republican Timothy Scott was appointed to the Senate, 12/17/12 |
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Filed under:
2013 Elections
posted by Scott Elliott at 9:40am 02/20/13::
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| Friday, February 15, 2013 |
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| Ideas I'm tossing around for Election Projection |
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Six weeks, two posts - yes, I know that's pretty slack of The Blogging Caesar. In case you're wondering, I do intend on blogging more often very soon. In the meantime, I wanted to let you in on some
possible new features for Election Projection.
- Forum - A way for readers of EP to voice their opinions and observations.
- Categorized Content - Separate "blogs" for such things as "Election News and Projections," "Conservative Commentary," "Expressions of Faith," etc.
- Broader Poll Coverage - More polls and more information on them, a la RealClearPolitics.
- Interactive Projection Contests - A chance for you to match expertise against The Blogging Caesar and other readers.
Also, I will begin coverage of several odd-year election races soon as well. I appreciate your patience as these things develop and hope you'll stick around during this less-than-franctic period in the
never-ending American election cycle.
Filed under:
Website administration
posted by Scott Elliott at 2:24pm 02/15/13::
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