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| Thursday, April 3, 2008 |
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| Fifty-state tour: New York |
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| With or without their adoptive daughter on the ballot, it will be business as usual for New Yorkers in November. The Empire State will
once again award its bountiful harvest of electoral votes to the Democratic nominee in the presidential election by a very wide margin. Eliot Spitzer's
indescretions notwithstanding, this state is still among the most liberal in the country. In 2006, only 9 of New York's 29 House seats were in Republican
hands. However, the number was reduced by three in the pro-Democratic elections that year. This year, even with only six seats to defend, the GOP's
troubles hardly seem to be subsiding.
Of the four hotly-contested seats on the radar, three are currently held by Republicans. One of them, the open seat of retiring Congressman Jim Walsh in
District 25, features the man who almost beat Walsh last time, Democrat Dan Maffei. Without the luxury of incumbency, the GOP's chances are less than
rosy. Looks like another one bites the dust - Weak DEM Gain.
The most likely to switch parties of the other three is another open seat in District 26 - and another GOP seat. Tom Reynolds' retirement has the Democrats
hopeful of shrinking the GOP House delegation from New York down to just four. However, this seat will start out as a
Weak GOP Hold.
On the Democratic side, only one of their 23 seats is vulnerable. Freshman congresswoman Kirsten Gillibrand faces a strong challenge
in District 20 from former New York Secretary of State and state GOP Chairman Sandy Treachwell. Both are well-financed, but the previously-mentioned luxury of
incumbency gives Gillibrand the upper hand for now - Weak DEM Hold.
The New York state page has the whole, rather large, story. Don't miss it!
Next stop: North Carolina
posted by Scott Elliott at 11:05pm 04/03/08 ::
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