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| Tuesday, April 15, 2008 |
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| Fifty-state tour: South Carolina |
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| We arrive in the heart of the Old South. Two things you expect down here, ironically, are large African-American populations and GOP
dominance in presidential and congressional elections. That is exactly what you have in South Carolina. However, with Barack Obama poised to win the
Democratic nomination, there's a good chance we'll get to see just what effect an African-American on the ballot will have in a solid red southern state.
George W. Bush carried the Palmetto State by wide margins in both his presidential campaigns. You have to go back to 1976 and next-door-neighbor Jimmy
Carter's first run to find the last time South Carolina's electoral votes went to the Democratic nominee. This year the dynamics of the race will be
different. Obama's run will tighten things up a bit here in 2008, but not enough to make it tense for John McCain. Whereas 2000 and 2004 were solid
here for the GOP, this year will just be Strong GOP.
Give the same rating to the first-term Senator Lindsay Graham, up for re-election after replacing the late centenarian Democrat (oops) Republican
Strom Thurmond in 2002. Graham angered some conservatives (not me) by joining McCain in the famous "Gang of 14"
alliance. It won't be enough to seriously threaten his re-election chances however.
None of South Carolina's four GOP congressmen and two Democratic congressmen will be seriously threatened this year, either.
Be sure to check out all the great information on the South Carolina state page.
posted by Scott Elliott at 10:50pm 04/15/08 ::
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