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| Monday, February 8, 2010 |
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| Fifty state tour - Kentucky preview |
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Senate: With no competitive seats in the House and no gubernatorial election on tap, it's all about the Senate race in the Bluegrass State. GOP incumbent Jim
Bunning decided last year to retire after insisting for much of the year that a third-term run was in the offing. At 79, age might have playe a role in his decision, but his dismal standing
with practically everyone from the NRSC to Kentucky's voters probably had more to do with his withdrawal. In his absence, intriguing primary battles are going on for both the
Republican and Democratic nominations. On the Democratic side, Attorney General Jack Conway faces Lt. Governor and 2004 Senate nominee, Dan Mongiardo. These two
first-tier candidates are locked in a very close race. Polls from last year show neither has a clear advantage, but either would be a strong challenger to the GOP's incumbency
here.
For the Republicans, rising-star Secretary of State Trey Grayson is attempting to parlay his precocious statewide victory in 2003 into a seat on Capitol Hill. When he
won that race at 29 years of age, he became the youngest secretary of state in the nation. Now 37, he'll be the youngest sitting senator in Washington if he wins again this
year. That's a big if. Opposing him in the GOP primary is Rand Paul, son of libertarian-leaning congressman and 2008 presidential candidate Ron Paul. Many were
saying early on that Paul's like-father-like-son views would not sit well with Kentucky Republicans socially conservative streak. However, he has experienced a slow and steady rise
in both primary and general election polls over the last few months, and he now appears to be the odds-on favorite to win the seat. In this current climate, either Republican would
probably win by a small margin, so I'll start this race off as a Weak GOP Hold.
Check out much more information on the Bluegrass State on Election Projection's Kentucky state page.
Next stop: Louisiana
Filed under:
Kentucky
KY Senate
posted by Scott Elliott at 7:50am 02/08/10::
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