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| Monday, February 15, 2010 |
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| Vulnerable lists for Senate and governor updated |
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I just finished updating the 2010 Most Likely Senate Takeovers and the
2010 Most Likely Governor Takeovers lists. On the Senate list, the biggest mover, of
course, is Indiana, up from 17th to 4th. Also moving up are Barbara Boxer of California who moves past Florida and Connecticut to 14th and Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas. She
climbs one spot to 3rd behind only North Dakota and Delaware and is the most vulnerable incumbent on the list. The biggest move down the list came from Michael Bennet of
Colorado. Previously, he held the third spot but has dropped to 6th.
On the governors list, two Democratic governorships saw significant jumps in their vulnerability. Polls show Ohio incumbent Ted Strickland is facing serious problems from John
Kasich's challenge. He moves up four spots from 15th to 11th. Iowa's Chet Culver also has some rough polling troubles, climbing three from 18th to 15th. On the
bright side for Democrats, Colorado looks less likely to switch now. That race falls to 16th, down 3. Illinois makes the list this time after a difficult primary test for incumbent
Pat Quinn, debuting at number 19. The open statehouse in Georgia drops off this latest edition.
I am waiting on Larry Sabato to published his updated House race ratings before redoing the House list. I expect his new ratings out any day now.
Filed under:
Senate
House
Governors
posted by Scott Elliott at 5:48pm 02/15/10::
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