Then just yesterday, Mason Dixon released a poll showing her losing to two GOP challengers and barely keeping her head above water against three or four more.  Finally, this approval rating poll comes out today pegging her approval/disapproval at 38% to 56%.  Reaffirming a nationwide trend against Democrats, independents in the poll disapprove of her job performance by an overwhelming 69% to 24% margin.  Any sitting politician would be hard-pressed to win an election with those numbers.

While the pollster in the that survey is Republican, the last approval poll three months ago by the same outfit gave her a split 45/45 mark.  The tide is clearly moving against Lincoln.  As a result, Election Projection is changing the preliminary rating of this race from Mod DEM Hold to Weak GOP Gain. This change moves the projected Senate tally to 52 Democrats, 46 Republicans and 2 Independents, a net 5-seat gain in addition to Scott Brown's pick-up in Massachusetts this week.



Filed under:  Ratings changes  Senate  Arkansas  AR Senate