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| Tuesday, January 26, 2010 |
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| House rating changes net 3 more GOP pickups |
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I've posted updated House projections incorporating over 4 dozen revised pundit ratings. Three new GOP takeovers are on the board - AR-1, MI-7, MS-1, and six new Democratic
seats have been added to Election Projection's House race tracking list, bringing the total number of tracked races to 70. Of those 70, 56 are currently held by Democrats.
Here is the list of rating changes in today's projections:
- Arizona CD-8: not tracked -> Mod DEM
- Arkansas CD-1: Weak DEM -> Weak GOP
- Arkansas CD-2: Weak GOP -> Mod GOP
- Colorado CD-3: not tracked -> Mod DEM
- Indiana CD-9: Mod DEM -> Weak DEM
- Michigan CD-7: Weak DEM -> Weak GOP
- Mississippi CD-1: Weak DEM -> Weak GOP
- New York CD-13: not tracked -> Mod DEM
- North Dakota CD-AL: not tracked -> Mod DEM
- Pennsylvania CD-4: not tracked -> Mod DEM
- Pennsylvania CD-8: not tracked -> Mod DEM
These changes bring the projected House tally to 241 Democrats and 194 Republicans. That's a net gain of 16 seats for the GOP, 24 shy of retaking the House. The
movement nationwide clearly favors the Republicans, and I expect more seats will flip to red in the coming weeks and months. Right now, I'd peg the chances of a GOP majority in the
House come next January at 40 to 45%.
Filed under:
Ratings changes
House
posted by Scott Elliott at 11:22pm 01/26/10::
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