In a press release just published on his website, Charlie Cook has given Scott Brown a slight advantage in Tuesday's special senate election in Massachusetts. Technically, Cook's
rating of the race remains in the "Toss-up" category but, according to Cook,
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Republican state Sen. Scott Brown [is] holding onto a very narrow, single-digit lead over Democratic state Attorney General Martha Coakley. Given the vagaries of voter turnout,
particularly in lower participation level special elections, this race could still go either way, but we put a finger on the scale for Brown. Emphasis added
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Election Projection has followed suit - who can argue with all the polling data giving Brown a slight to convincing lead - and now projects Brown to win the election on Tuesday. I
repeat, simply because I never dreamed I'd post these words. Election Projection now projects Republican Scott Brown will win the Massachusetts senate seat formerly held by the late
Senator Edward Kennedy in the special election on Tuesday, January 19, 2010.
Update: It's 51-41! The Merriman Group just released a
poll showing Brown moving out to a 10-point lead! There's way too much positive energy and positive polling data to deny that Brown has to be favored at this point.
Pinch me, I've got to be dreaming! Hat tip: The Hedgehog Report
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MA Senate
posted by Scott Elliott at 2:50pm 01/17/10::
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