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| Friday, January 20, 2012 |
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| South Carolina Republican primary predictions and results - updated |
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The dirty laundry is out there. Fifteen years ago, Newt Gingrich's
second wife claims he asked her for an open
marriage while he was cheating on her with his current wife. He denies the charge. And nearly thirty years ago, Mitt Romney traveled 1200 miles with his dog in a carrier
strapped to
the top of his family car. He admits to the
deed. All the while, Republicans are trying to decide who to put up against President Obama in this year's presidential elections. It would be comical were it not such a serious
decision with so much at stake.
The next step in that process will be tomorrow's South Carolina Republican primary. In recent days, Gingrich has eradicated a substantial deficit in the polls coming out of the
Palmetto State and vaulted into a clear lead. The momentum from endorsements by Rick Perry and Sarah Palin and strong debate performances have made him the new favorite
to win tomorrow. Whether or not that translates into frontrunner status in other states remains to be seen, but national polls are tightening.
So with no further ado, here are my predictions for the South Carolina Republican primary.
- Newt Gingrich - 41%
- Mitt Romney - 33%
- Ron Paul - 18%
- Rick Santorum - 8%
Gingrich's re-ascension has been quite remarkable. After two fourth place finishes in Iowa and New Hampshire, he now sits atop the heap in South Carolina and has become (again)
the clear anti-Romney alternative. Four years ago, John McCain's candidacy was declared dead on arrival early on. We all know how that turned out. Interestingly,
the man whose fortunes suffered most from McCain's surprise resurgence was Mitt Romney. Could history be repeating itself?
I'll post an update with a link to the results when it becomes available.
Update: You can track the results tonight as they come in at
this handy website. Polls close at 7pm Eastern. And here is a primer to help you interpret
early returns:
Five counties to watch in South Carolina.
Filed under:
2012 GOP Primaries
SC Primary 2012
South Carolina 2012
SC President 2012
Newt Gingrich
Mitt Romney
posted by Scott Elliott at 6:05pm 01/20/12::
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