Final
Projections

Click on a map for details
Updated:
Tue. Nov 04, 2014
Senate
Republicans 52
Democrats 45
Independents 3
GOP +7, IND +1
House
Republicans 245
Democrats 190
GOP +11
Governors
Republicans 27
Democrats 22
Independents 1
DEM +1, IND +1
2014 Elections on Demand
Projections
 
Polls
Election Day
November 8, 2016

Track the 2014 Races
Election Projection cannot screen all advertisements appearing here.  Therefore, I do not necessarily endorse the products and/or services shown.

Favorite Links

2014 Election News

The Lone Star State figured to be another state in which the Senate race featured a primary battle more interesting than the general election.  With incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn almost assured of victory in November, one would have to look to the GOP nomination contest for any drama here.  But there may not be much drama there either.

Unlike his colleague Ted Cruz, Cornyn at times has not garnered the favor of conservative groups.  His decision to side with Republican leadership on Capitol Hill during last fall's government shutdown battle has put him at odds with the state's Tea Party voters.  As a result, a large field of Republican challengers has emerged to oppose his nomination.  The most well-known of the bunch is Congressman Steve Stockman.  His late entry into the race was a bit of a surprise, and his campaign has not enjoyed an impressive start.

He has stumbled out of the gate with little money and has struggled under charges of questionable ethics.  With a massive warchest at his disposal, Cornyn has wasted little time attacking Stockman.  His super-PAC opened the new year with an ad characterizing Stockman record as 'shady' and 'troubling.'  Apparently, despite having a 44-point lead over Stockman in a mid-December poll, Cornyn is taking the Congressman's challenge seriously.

Cornyn's posture may stem from the fact that Texas is a runoff state.  If he fails to reach 50% of the vote +1 in the March 4 GOP primary, he will have to face his closest competitor in a primary runoff in late May.  That would give Stockman, should he place second, another 2 1/2 months to eat into Cornyn advantage.

If Stockman can't shed the shadow of controversy and raise a lot of money quickly, however, I don't foresee Cornyn needing to worry about a runoff.  It looks to me like he'll earn a majority of the primary vote and go on to enjoy a very large majority of the general election vote in November.

Preliminary projection: Solid GOP Hold

You can track this race throughout the 2014 election season here at Election Projection by visiting the Texas Senate Election page for polls, projections and updates.  Also, check out the 2014 Senate Elections page for a summary of all Senate races on tap in 2014 complete with EP's colorful red and blue Senate map.

posted by Scott Elliott at 10:26pm 01/24/14 :: link
<< Previous 2014 Election News Next >>
2014 State-by-State Projections
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Texas
Tennessee
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
Latest Posts
Support Election Projection
Thank you very much!
Special Thanks To:
Charlie Cook, Cook Political
Dave Leip, U.S. Election Atlas
David Wissing, The Hedgehog Report
Larry Sabato, Crystal Ball
Richard & Tony, The Green Papers
The folks at RealClearPolitics
The Rothenberg Political Report
©Copyright 2003-2014 Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved