|This week's Election Projection shows little change from last week. However, in response to reader
suggestions, I've added a couple of new features. First, battleground states defined by a projected margin of 5.0% or less are now colored in a lighter
hue. Second, the electoral votes of each state have been added to the list of states for easy reference.
Back to the numbers: Even though George W. Bush's polling against John Kerry has improved since last week, a slight drop in job approval paired with
an unusually low right track poll has produced yet another decline in the overall popular vote numbers for the President. He now trails Kerry by a 48.07% to
50.93% count. That's an improvement of 1.1% for the challenger. Electoral votes remain at 247-291.
Since I began tracking these projections in August, 2003, the President's most impressive numbers have been 477 electoral votes and a 17.60% margin seen
on the 12th of January.
His previous lows were 181 EVs with a margin of -6.63% on September 5, 2003. This is the third update in a row that finds
President Bush's numbers at a low for 2004.
posted by Scott Elliott at 11:30pm 03/07/04 ::