|The slide continues...
President Bush's numbers appear to be turning the corner, but not enough to avoid a fourth straight decline in overall numbers. Recent polls, with
the exception of ARG's latest, show Bush improving in all 3 categories. That poll and dismal right track numbers are keeping John Kerry out in front.
His margin increased this week from 2.86% to 3.84%. Kerry is projected to win 51.42% of the popular vote, while the President's projected 47.58%
is below his actual 2000 total (47.87%) for the first time this year. Electoral votes hold steady this week at 291-247 in favor of Senator Kerry.
It is interesting to note that 6 red states, representing 66 electoral votes, are within 2.7% of blue territory. Will Kerry's momentum give him a much
larger advantage in the electoral college? Or have we seen the bottom for Bush with so many EVs dangling just outside Kerry's reach?
I'll keep you posted...
Since I began tracking these projections in August, 2003, the President's most impressive numbers have been 477 electoral votes and a 17.60% margin seen
on the 12th of January.
His previous lows were 181 EVs with a margin of -6.63% on September 5, 2003. This is the fourth update in a row that finds
President Bush's numbers at a low for 2004.
posted by Scott Elliott at 10:25pm 03/14/04 ::