President Bush's numbers appear to be turning the corner, but not enough to avoid a fourth straight decline in overall numbers.  Recent polls, with the exception of ARG's latest, show Bush improving in all 3 categories.  That poll and dismal right track numbers are keeping John Kerry out in front.  His margin increased this week from 2.86% to 3.84%.  Kerry is projected to win 51.42% of the popular vote, while the President's projected 47.58% is below his actual 2000 total (47.87%) for the first time this year.  Electoral votes hold steady this week at 291-247 in favor of Senator Kerry.  It is interesting to note that 6 red states, representing 66 electoral votes, are within 2.7% of blue territory.  Will Kerry's momentum give him a much larger advantage in the electoral college?  Or have we seen the bottom for Bush with so many EVs dangling just outside Kerry's reach?   I'll keep you posted...

Since I began tracking these projections in August, 2003, the President's most impressive numbers have been 477 electoral votes and a 17.60% margin seen on the 12th of January.
His previous lows were 181 EVs with a margin of -6.63% on September 5, 2003.  This is the fourth update in a row that finds President Bush's numbers at a low for 2004.