After reapportionment and redistricting, it can be a challenge to map all the changes in congressional district boundaries and partisan make-up. Merged seats,
eliminated seats, new seats, it can be quite a mess. In all the shuffle, it is easy to misclassify a seat or two. That's exactly what I did when I published
the non-competitive House seat list. I have carried Texas CD-36, one of the Lone Star
States four new districts, as a Solid DEM Gain. An observant reader pointed out to me this weekend that it is instead a Solid GOP Gain with a Cook PVI R+20 rating.
The correction gives Republicans one more projected House seat and moves the projected balance of power to 244-191, a net gain of 2 seats for the GOP.
| September 4 Election Projection Update |
| Electoral Votes |
Current |
Previous |
Change |
| Barack Obama |
303 |
303 |
no change |
| Mitt Romney |
235 |
235 |
no change |
| Party switchers: none |
| |
| Popular Vote |
Current |
Previous |
Change |
| Mitt Romney |
49.5 |
49.4 |
+0.1 |
| Barack Obama |
49.0 |
49.0 |
no change |
| Party switchers: none |
| |
| U.S. Senate |
Current |
Previous |
Change |
| Republicans |
51 |
51 |
no change |
| Democrats |
47 |
47 |
no change |
| Independents |
2 |
2 |
no change |
| Party switchers: none |
| |
| U.S. House |
Current |
Previous |
Change |
| Republicans |
244 |
243 |
+1 |
| Democrats |
191 |
192 |
-1 |
| Party switchers: Texas CD-36 |
| |
| Governors |
Current |
Previous |
Change |
| Republicans |
32 |
32 |
no change |
| Democrats |
17 |
17 |
no change |
| Independents |
1 |
1 |
no change |
| Party switchers: none |
| |
|
Next update will be tomorrow.
Filed under:
2012 Projection Updates
2012 House
posted by Scott Elliott at 9:57am 09/04/12::
link | 
