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  Politics and Elections
   2012 Elections - Colorado Races
Monday, June 25, 2012

Four primaries on tap tomorrow - Colorado, New York,
Oklahoma and Utah - updated
Three more primaries, in Colorado, Oklahoma and Utah, are scheduled for tomorrow, including the nation's last presidential primary in Utah.  I am working to update the state pages and races to reflect the primaries of June 12 so bear with me.  I hope to have them posted this evening so that I'll be ready to update CO, OK and UT.

The most interesting race in the lineup (though not exciting) is probably the GOP Senate nomination contest in Utah between Senate Orrin Hatch and former State Senator Dan Liljenquist.  Two years ago, the Tea Party successfully blocked then-Senator Bob Bennett's re-nomination bid and watched Mike Lee waltz to a victory for the GOP in the general election.  This year, an attempt to unseat Hatch doesn't appear headed for the same outcome, however, as the incumbent enjoys a substantial lead in the polls.

Update:  I failed to mention that New York is also holding its primary on Tuesday.  Sorry for the omission.



Filed under:  Colorado 2012  Oklahoma 2012  Utah 2012  UT President 2012  UT Senate 2012 



posted by Scott Elliott at 7:11pm 06/25/12::
Friday, November 18, 2011
New map adds Colorado CD-6 to hot list
Last week, Denver District Court Judge Robert Hyatt ruled in favor of the Democratic redistricting map in Coloorado.  As a result, Congressman Mike Coffman's District 6 will be considerably less Republican and his re-election chances much dicier.  I've added that race to the hotly-contested House list and updated the Colorado state page and the House summary page.  Coffman's preliminary re-election projection has been downgraded to a Weak GOP Hold.



Filed under:  Colorado 2012  CO House 2012 



posted by Scott Elliott at 7:32pm 11/18/11::
Thursday, November 17, 2011
Colorado 2012 Preview
Election Projection's "Tour of the 50 States" reaches a Rocky Mountain high this morning - and our first battleground state.

Reapportionment and Redistricting:  Colorado's house delegation (7 seats) saw no change as a result of the 2010 census' reapportionment, and Cook's Political Report expects no partisan advantage from redistricting.  However, the newly drawn map, settled on amid much partisan acrimony, is in the hands of the courts.  What map emerges is anyone's guess.

President:  Colorado has enjoyed battleground status in presidential elections for some time now.  Since Ronald Reagan's 2-1 triumph here in 1984, no candidate has won the state's electoral votes by more than a 9-point margin.  During that time, 4 Republicans and 2 Democrats have won here, so this state has, indeed, been up for grabs over the last generation.  2012 looks to be no different.  Either party's nominee could bag this state, but early on, I'll give President Obama a slight advantage - Weak DEM Hold.

Senate:  There is no Senate race here in 2012, but there are two freshmen Democrats who will be up for re-election over the next two cycles - Mark Udall in 2014 and Michael Bennet in 2016.

Governor:  Democrat John Hickenlooper won Colorado's statehouse in 2010.  He won't be up for re-election until 2014.

House:  On the congressional front, things appear to be less unstable this go 'round.  Normally, at least a couple Colorado House seats find their way onto my hotly-contested list.  No so, so far in this cycle.  Two seats, CD-3 and CD-4, both held by Republicans, are classified as possibly competitive however, so we may yet get to track a competitive race or two here.

All the details can be had on the Colorado state page.

Next stop: Connecticut



Filed under:  Colorado 2012  CO President 2012  CO House 2012 



posted by Scott Elliott at 11:03am 11/17/11::

Special Thanks To:

Charlie Cook
Cook Political


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DC's Political Report


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Larry Sabato
Crystal Ball


Richard & Tony
The Green Papers


Rose Institute
Redistricting in America


Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
RealClearPolitics

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