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| 2010 Elections - New Jersey House Races |
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| Tuesday, March 30, 2010 |
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| Fifty state tour - New Jersey |
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The red wave of 2010 first made landfall in New Jersey back in November 2009. After not being able to win much of anything for four years prior, the GOP won a stunning victory
here last year in the gubernatorial race. Republican Chris Christie was the first beneficiary of the turning tide after the Democrats' resounding victories in 2008. (Yes, the GOP won
in Virginia too, though I'd attribute the margin more than the outcome to the growing red wave.) This year, of course, the statehouse is not up for grabs, nor is either of New Jersey's
senate seats. Among the house seats, one freshman Democrats appears to be somewhat vulnerable.
House District 3: John Adler won this seat two years ago after entrenched Republican Jim Saxton decided not to seek a twelfth term. Even though the
political climate has done a 180 since his election, he will enjoy the power of incumbency in this very evenly split district (Cook PVI R+1). And as a Harvard-trained attorney with two
decades in politics under his belt, he has the chops to be very strong against whomever faces him in November. That one is likely to be former NFL offensive lineman Jon
Runyan, a political novice. In an interesting irony, the 6' 7" 330 lb Runyan is set to play David to Adler's political Goliath. The outcome of this race right now is hard to guess
simply because little can be known about what kind of candidate the Republican behemoth will be. If Runyan's candidacy proves fresh and appealing to voters seeking change,
he could upend Adler. On the other hand, unless his message really connects, this could be relatively easy win for the incumbent. For now, pundits seem to say the jury is
still out. Taken together, they see Adler as vulnerable, but not terribly so. This race starts out as a Mod DEM Hold.
The New Jersey state page has the lowdown. Check it out.
Next stop: New Mexico
Filed under:
New Jersey
NJ House
posted by Scott Elliott at 10:34pm 03/30/10::
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