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| The Blogging Caesar
|What does that mean?
|The term is meant to be a humorous combination of something new and something old.
The something new comes from the internet. The something old comes from the Bible.
To many of you who come to this site, this term is as common as ISP, DSL and static ip addresses. For those for whom it isn't,
I'll give you the scoop. People who post their thoughts and comments on a website in a journal-like format are said to maintain web-logs,
or 'blogs' for short. That is part of what I do. You could call me a blogger, and when I post my thoughts, I'm blogging.
Almost everybody has some knowledge of this name. We commonly associate it with Julius, Ancient Rome, and Empires, as well as some other, unseemly things
that are patently not a part of its meaning here! In the Bible, Jesus was once tested by some of His detractors who quizzed Him on whether people should
pay taxes to the Roman Emperor. He requested a Roman coin and asked them, "Whose likeness is on the coin?" It was Caesar's. "So then," He answered,
"render unto Caesar what is Caesar's and unto God what is God's." I believe this was a command from Jesus to obey God's laws and to obey the laws of civil
authorities and uphold the responsibilities of loyal subjects - where they did not run contrary to God's laws.
Those of us who are Christians are under the same mandate today. In the United States, we live in a country whose government is "of the people, by the
people, for the people." In other words, each citizen has a part in determining how we will be governed. We are each, in effect, a small part of the
'American Caesar' that is our republic.
So, that makes me..."The Blogging Caesar!"
electionprojection -at- gmail.com
|Hello, my name is Scott Elliott. I'm a 46-year-old husband of 26 years to the world's most incredible woman and father to three wonderful sons, one amazing
daughter and one awesome daughter-in-law. My wife and I are also blessed to have a precious little granddaughter and grandson. I am a Christian. Jesus is my life and my purpose.
I look forward to meeting Him in heaven face to face someday. Until then, I'm also a political aficionado in the worst way, and I just love numbers. What do you get when you
mix a passion for politics and a lifelong fascination with numbers? This website!
I hope you'll enjoy this project. So far my track record is pretty good, I think. In 2004, my formula projected Bush would win 289 electoral
votes. He won 286. Formulas for the 2006 mid-term Senate and House elections proved to be better than my hunches - they picked the GOP to lose the House and
the Senate. In fact, my formula's projection for the Senate picked every seat correctly and missed only Minnesota among the gubernatorial races. In
2008, my formula projected a solid victory for Barack Obama - though he did even better than my numbers suggested by taking North Carolina and Indiana. Still, 48
out of 50 ain't too shabby.
In 2010, Election Projection's House projections were closer than any other major prognosticating website. EP predicted Republicans
would bag a net of 64 new seats, a monumental shift in the balance of power. When all the votes were counted, they had gained 63.
In 2012, Election Projection foretold Obama's re-election, missing only Florida in the process. At 49/50 correct, 2012 was EP's best presidential prognostication so far. EP's Senate projections
ended up at 31 out of 33 correct. And I missed just one governor's race (Montana), though there were a limited number of gubernatorial contests this year (11). Finally, the House projections here
gave Democrats a slight gain of 2 seats. They ended up with an 8-seat net gain. I'll be tweaking the projection formula in 2014 to try to get back to the accuracy EP enjoyed in 2010.