More 2012 Election Day GOP have voted early than 2012 Election Day DEMs, by about 35k voters. Take those out and DEMs have been leading since early last week.
I’ll give him the benefit of the doubt on his facts, but who knows how to interpret them in evaluating what’s really happening in Florida? Who’s really ahead? As always, and this is the bottom line, we won’t know the answer until the votes are counted next Tuesday night. That said, it is hard to spin a shift of 56,000 votes to the GOP from 2012 as a bad thing for Trump – especially in a state that President Obama carried by less than 1 percent four years ago.
This morning, though, Republican super PAC Senate Leadership Fund, announced it is matching Democrats’ investment and launched a new television ad attacking Feingold. This is a game changer because it means that Republicans see a path to victory for Johnson.
Call me skeptical but encouraged. EP’s Senate projections currently stand at a net gain of 3 seats for Democrats.
As of Tuesday, 39% of women said they’re backing Trump, compared with 34% who supported Trump in Saturday’s tracking poll.
The article goes on to say that Trump is doing as well among women as Mitt Romney was at this point in 2012.Other findings:
- Trump is polling worse than Romney among married women – 46% vs 51%, but he’s doing better among single women – 28% vs 23%.
- At just 38%, Clinton is doing slightly worse among men than Obama was at this point in the 2012 race. Obama was at 40%.
- Trump gets 50% of the male vote, the same share as Romney.
- Working class voters are breaking big for Trump as compared to Romney four years ago. He is polling at 50% among these voters, 12 points better than Romney.