John McCain has a negative approval rating with Republican primary voters, and is at pretty serious risk of losing nomination for another term. Only 35% of GOP voters approve of the job McCain is doing to 50% who disapprove. He’s in particularly poor standing with conservative voters. Among ‘somewhat conservative’ voters his approval spread is 33/52, and among ‘very conservative’ voters it drops all the way down to 18/67.McCain is polling at only 39% in the Republican primary field.
My hunch is that McCain’s chances have improved since the poll was taken, but he remains vulnerable to a primary election upset. If McCain does lose, Democrats stand to benefit. Kirkpatrick will have an easier time scoring the takeover against McCain’s main primary opponent, Arizona State Senator Kelli Ward, than against McCain himself.Both Arizona and Florida are pivotal in the Senate version of The Battle for Capitol Hill. With the balance of power up in the air, Republicans likely must hold both these seats to retain their majority.