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2012 Projections

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  Politics and Elections
Tuesday, May 15, 2012
Election Projection update for May 15
Three items to point out from today's projection update. First, President Obama is back in the popular vote lead. After falling behind Mitt Romney in last week's projection by 0.1%, he is now projected to garner 49.4% of the vote versus 49.1% for Romney. ...
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Monday, May 14, 2012
Three primaries on tap for Tuesday
Three states are holding primary elections tomorrow, Idaho, Nebraska and Oregon. The presidential primaries in each of these states may not be significant at this point, but that doesn't mean there aren't other primary races worth watching. ...
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Thursday, May 10, 2012
Election Projection update for May 10
The update I promised earlier is posted. Barack Obama continues to lead the all-important electoral vote count, 303-235. However, Romney's improved performance in national polls has moved the projected popular vote in his favor by a mere 0.1%. ...
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New numbers to be posted later this evening
There have been lots of polls out over the last several days and new pundit ratings on House many races as well. How will the new data affect the numbers? We'll see later today ...
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Wednesday, May 9, 2012
Lugar out, Mourdock in in Indiana
The influence of the Tea Party was felt in a big way in 2010. It appears the Tea Party folks are ready to make some splashes again this year. A major salvo occurred last night in Indiana where 6-term incumbent Senator Richard Lugar fell massively to Tea-Party-backed State Treasurer Richard Mourdock ...
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Tuesday, May 8, 2012
North Carolina Marriage Amendment passes by more than 3 to 2
Today, North Carolinians voted to add an amendment to the state's constitution that protects the traditional definition of marriage and refuses to recognize any type of civil union other than the marriage of one man and one woman. ...
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  2012 Projections, State-by-State

Alabama         
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky

Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota

Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming

Special Thanks To:

Charlie Cook, Cook Political

Congressional Quarterly, CQ Politics

D.C. Finegold Sachs, DC's Political Report

Dave Leip, U.S. Election Atlas

David Wissing, The Hedgehog Report

Larry Sabato, Crystal Ball

Richard & Tony, The Green Papers

Rose Institute, Redistricting in America

The folks at RealClearPolitics
Election Projection Resources
 
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